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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Matchups

Sony Open

FINAL RESULT: 4-2-0; +6.32pts

Sabbatini/Kaye LOST by 4
Rose/Poulter WON by 15
Kelly/Furyk LOST by 5
Maruyama/Furyk WON by 8
Durant/Baddeley WON by 5
Toms/Furyk WON by 4

Could have been a bigger profit as Sabbatini did start the final day ahead of Kaye, but at least the profit was enough to cover the losses on the outrights, plus some small change.

 

Further matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Joe Durant to beat Aaron Baddeley -107 @ Five Dimes
Badds certainly has good course form, but with no top-20 finishes since last February he is hardly in enough form to have another good week at Waialae. Durant has finished in the top-20 in each of the last two years and has finished ahead of Baddeley in eight of their last ten common events. Despite the location, he shouldn't be the underdog.

David Toms to beat Jim Furyk -125 @ IASbet [3pts]
Toms finished ahead of Furyk in all eight of their common events and would have shrugged off any rustiness last week. Very impressive from tee-to-green and 4th last time out on this course, Toms should be set for another top-10 finish. Furyk had a lot of work to do over the winter break if he was to show even a glimpse of his former game.

 

Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Rory Sabbatini to beat Jonathan Kaye +114 @ Pinnacle
I bite at these odds on the expectation that Kaye will suffer a letdown after last week's near miss. With the South African shading the course form and holding a 12-2-2 h2h record against Kaye since last February, it should take a carryover from last week's form for Kaye to prevail.
(also available at Five Dimes)

Justin Rose to beat Ian Poulter -110 @ Ladbrokes and BetFred [3pts]
Neither player has any history in Hawaii, but Rose did show some very encouraging form once he concentrated on the PGA Tour in the second half of last year. That should make him better prepared than his close friend who, with four missed cuts in his last six starts, is an unpredictable as ever.
(also available at William Hill and GolfingGods)

Jerry Kelly to beat Jim Furyk -114 @ Expekt
Furyk may have a good record around the Plantation course in Kapalua where he has a house, but his record on this island has been rather indifferent over the last seven years. Kelly has finished ahead of him in three of the last four years and holds a 7-3-1 h2h record against him over the past year. Enough reason to back the outright selection again.
(also available at SkyBet, BetInternet, BetFred and GolfingGods)

Shigeki Maruyama to beat Jim Furyk +135 Pinnacle
Generous odds on Maruyama who has finished ahead of Furyk in each of the last two years here and in seven of nine common events over the past year.
(also available at Five Dimes)