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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

Tour Championship     [Matchup picks for the Southern Farm Bureau Classic can be found here]

 

FINAL RESULT

 

Howell (78!!!!!!) was beaten by Appleby by 9

O'Hair was beaten by Calcavecchia by 1

Love beat DiMarco by 6

 

Bets: 3     Wins: 1     Losses: 2     Profit/Loss = -1.56 pts

 

 

Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts unless stated)

 

Charles Howell to beat Stuart Appleby              -115 @ Centrebet

Appleby is a frustrating player who seems to drop out of form quite regularly. His current form of 58-32-27 is hardly encouraging, especially last week where his 27th finish was courtesy of just a single decent round of 66 in the third round. Howell on the other hand managed to win a place in this event with finishes of 5th, 15th and 16th in recent weeks. He is local boy being from just up the road in Augusta and has finished 2nd both times he has played this event. He leads the h2h stats against Appleby over 3 years:26-22-1, 12 months: 10-5-1 and 3 months: 4-1-1.

 

Sean O'Hair to beat Mark Calcavecchia             -110 @ BlueSquare

It's hard not to have been impressed with O'Hair this season. Every time it looks like his form is about to go back

he comes again with another good performance. Amazingly O'Hair has only missed one cut in the last 8 months

and had an excellent 10th place finish last week. Calcavecchia on the other hand missed the cut badly. He hasn't played in this event since 2001 and his record reads 15-4-29-11-19, which is hardly inspiring stuff for an event with only 30 entries. On a course that will favour those hitting the greens in regulation I'd rather be with O'Hair than Calcavecchia. And the h2h stats also give O'Hair the advantage (12 months: 9-6-0, 3 months: 3-1-0).

 

Davis Love to beat Chris DiMarco  (3 pts)         -123 @ Centrebet

Even at these odds this is represents a clear value bet. Love has been frustrating this year where he seems to either have a top 20 finish or miss the cut, but at least he can't do that here. But he has now rolled off three top 20 finishes in recent weeks and on a course which should suit his game and where he has played well previously (8-8-5) he should certainly go well again. Also of benefit is that it doesn't take a lot to defeat DiMarco these days. His current form is very poor, his course form is markedly poorer than Love's (18-7-24) and his GIR stats are very poor this year (3rd bottom in this field).