Finishing Positions (0.5 Pt Stakes)
Bets: 3 Wins: 1 Losses: 2
Profit/Loss = -14.25 Pts. What can
you say, 4 rounds of absolute brilliance from
Campbell and at no stage did he look as if he
would ever come back towards our back price. We
won well on Mickelson, but the loss on Els made
it overall a poor week.
Pre Round Three Trades
Buy Ernie Els at 33 with
IG Sport M/U 18.5,
Loss 7.25 Pts
Els has been struggling of late, having changed
his management company and for whatever reason
this has coincided with a big loss in form.
After a fair start on Thursday, Els played
poorly yesterday to go out to 57th place and IG
dangle a price of 33 for punters to take today.
This is a price that is arguably 4 points too
low and although we have to insert the caveat
that a par round today would probably see him
clear 33rd place, he could easily do the
opposite and fall completely out of this. The 10
shot rule has ensured upwards of 80 players
playing what is normally a 60 + ties event so
buying is favoured to selling over the weekend. Pre Round Two Trades
Buy Michael Campbell at 36 with
IG Sport M/U 1,
Loss 17.5 Pts
Most prices seem about right this morning apart
from possibly Campbell. Tied 17th with 14 others
it wouldn't take much for any player around this
position to fall dramatically with a poor round.
There is a cut in this event at 60 and ties and
although it would probably take a 77 or higher
to do this it is not impossible. However, we are
trading on his price compared to expected end
position on the information we have to hand,
i.e. the current leaderboard and an average
finishing position on that information is
probably just above 40. Pre Round One Trades
Buy Phil Mickelson at 16 with
IG Sport M/U 37,
Profit 10.5 Pts
Everything in life has its price and I really
believe in all the available information for
this event that 16 is a price that cannot be
ignored for Mickelson even although there is
every chance he will contend in this event.
Players have been quite open in press
conferences suggesting that scores could be
really high this week and in those
circumstances, with the world's Top 50 players
in attendance, we must consider 16 as a value
price. |