Outright Picks - PGA Tour |
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Bay Hill Invitational |
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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts
Scott mc
Verplank 10th
Glover 17th
A rather disappointing outcome. Glover held sole possession of the lead, but
36 holes too early and while he wilted on Saturday he still started the final
round in joint 2nd place and closed the gap to 3 shots after five holes. But as
Pampling came back to the field, he would have only needed to be 2-under-par for
the rest of the round to tie the winning score, he was seven-over-par instead
and couldn't even finish in the places. Not a very enjoyable weekend.
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Adam Scott to win 25/1 e.w. @
BetInternet,
Bet365,
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds
and
BlueSq
Scott hasn't played since the World Matchplay, but that has been his schedule
for the last few years and it hasn't caused him any problems. Two years ago, he
returned to finish 3rd in this event and win the Players Championship, while
last year he returned to finish 30th here and 8th in the Players Championship.
That 30th place finish was only courtesy of a final round 75 when he had a nine
on his card. That quadruple-bogey at the 6th hole was the four-shot difference
between 30th place and a top-5 payout. So far he has played in two strokeplay
events since the Sony Open and on both occasions, he was very impressive. The
first time to be the early leader in the Johnnie Walker Classic and then to
almost snatch victory in the Nissan Open. Any semblance of that form and he will
surely be a very strong contender this week.
Scott Verplank to finish in the top-five 9/1 @
BetDirect
That should be the limit of Verplank's abilities this week as he continues to
fall short of victory since his last title in 2001. But he is certainly
featuring on the leaderboards a great deal this season. Having ended last season
with a top-3 finish in the Tour Championship, he gained top-3 finishes in his
first two starts of 2006, finished 51st in the Nissan Open, but then looked set
to return to the top-3 position when leading the Ford Championship two weeks ago
after the 1st round. It was two rounds to early for Verplank as he shot 74-72
over the weekend and double-bogeyed the final hole both times to finish 15th and
three shots out of the payout places. But there is no point in denying his form
and with a record in Florida that reads four top-3 finishes in his last ten
starts in this State, including 3rd here in 2004, he remains backable in the
place markets ... especially as none of those top-3 finishes were converted into
wins.
Lucas Glover to win 66/1 e.w. available generally
By contrast, Glover has already won in Florida (2005 FUNAI Classic) and can
boast four top-10 finishes in the last 18 months in this State, including 5th in
the Ford Championship two weeks ago. In six strokeplay events this year, he has
finished in the top-10 on four occasions, putting him at the top of that stat
category on the PGA Tour and as he is also ranked 3rd in the All-Around Ranking
category, he is clearly a player that should be competitive in this type of
event. Presumably, his lack of course experience is the reason for his inflated
odds, but he decided not to play in the Honda Classic, despite being the course
record holder, in order to concentrate on the set of events coming up and he has
already won on Tour with Tiger in field, so why not this week as well!
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