Summary: Bets 5, Wins 3, Losses 2, P&L +6.58 Pts.

Tournament Trade

Buy Jerry Kelly FP at 35 with Spreadex for 0.6 Pts M/U 50, Profit 9 Pts

In such a high quality field, we have a bit of value buying Kelly at 35 even although there are less than 120 starters, this is a field with a good depth of quality. Kelly is probably as low as 35 due to two Top 10’s in his last two starts and previous good course form. However he has set a trend of not keeping up a run of form past two events. In the last eighteen months he has runs of 3 events with the following finishes:  8/16/cut, 11/8/cut, 4/5/wd (after a R1 79). So, that is a good example of how Kelly rarely posts a run of good form that reaches past 2 events. In fact his best finish after two good weeks in a row is 32^nd after a 13^th and 5^th the two events previously.

Round One Trades

Buy Geoff Ogilvy over Michael Campbell 18H MB at 1.6 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.3 Pts M/U 16, Profit 4.1 Pts

Sell Camilo Villegas over Henrik Bjornstad 18H MB at 2.4 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.3 Pts M/U 0, Profit 0.68 Pts
Sell Lucas Glover over Vaughn Taylor 18H MB at 5 with Sporting Index for 3 Pts M/U 22, Loss 5.1 Pts

Sell Tiger Woods over Kirk Triplett 18H MB at 12 with Sporting Index for 3 Pts M/U 19, Loss 2.1 Pts

Reasons: In all three cases on the Sell advices, it is really just the favourite being overpriced. Ogilvy hasn't got a great record round here but his confidence is at such a high just now he should possibly be a higher price than he is quoted at with the exchange.