FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts

Kelly 53rd
Pampling mc
Kaye mc

D'oh! Tried to box too clever and paid the penalty. Should have just looked at the ratings instead: after Mickelson whose price was much too short, Campbell was ranked 2nd and won having been 25/1, while Verplank was ranked 4th and finished 2nd having been 33/1.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Jerry Kelly to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
Did consider passing on Kelly when he was given a slot in the celebrity rotation, but given that his personality is ideally suited to the extra attention that the celebrity groupings receive each week and that he has yet to miss the cut in ten years of playing in this event, he shouldn't be too disadvantaged. He opened with a solid performance last week, shooting under par in every round - only David Toms matched that feat - and really should be in the thick of contention for fourth time in five years this week.

Rod Pampling to win 66/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and BlueSq
Another player with good course form and even though there are two new courses in use this week, it is still important to have experience of this particular pro-am. In his three previous appearances here, he has finished 21st, 21st and 9th and with a good run of results on the Australasian Tour, he looks set to once again start the PGA Tour season in good form.

Jonathan Kaye to win 100/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Kaye missed his first cut here last year, but with finishes of 4th and 8th in the previous two years, there is still plenty of encouragement and particularly at this price. Like the other selections, he has won previously on this Tour and while his form is rather more erratic than the other two, he is a player who does tend to play well at this time of the year. He followed his 4th place finish in 2004 with a win in the FBR Open the following week for example. Unpredictable, but still value at 100/1.