Summary: Bets 4, Wins 1. Loss 15.54 Pts
Tournament Trades
Buy Sean O' Hair FP at 34 with
Spreadex for 0.6
Pts M/U 5, Loss 17.4 Pts
O' Hair has an 8th place finish here on his only appearance and is coming
off of a Top 20 place at Hoylake so will be a popular choice with some. He
also, of course, has Ryder Cup points to play for but for all that I would
have him on FP quotes at around 36 in this field. His average for the year
is 44 after failing to beat 50th in FP scoring for the first 12 events of
the year. Since then he has improved, with two top 20's in seven events but
all in all, 34 is low.
Buy Chris Di'Marco FP at 30 with
Spreadex for 0.6
Pts M/U 50, Profit 12 Pts
2nd at Hoylake behind Woods does not cover the cracks totally for what has
been a terrible year for Di'Marco both personally and physically after an
accident skiing and the death of his mother. His results pre-Liverpool show
no Top 20's from March onwards and 10 maximum 50 M/U's in 13 starts. Like O'
Hair, Di'Marco has great course form, 5 Top 25's in his last 5 starts, but
current form cannot be ignored and 30 seems low in an above average field.
Round One Match Bets
Sell Camilo Villegas over Bo Van Pelt at 2 with
Sporting Index for 0.3
Pts M/U 13, Loss 3.3 Pts
Van Pelt leads the Colombian 11-5 over 18 months, 11-4-1 in R1 matches
and has beaten him in their last 5 events they have both featured in. Both
players are a bit out of form recently, and Van Pelt, the only player to
have played here has a 0 from 2 cut record but the above stats suggest that
we have a wrong favourite.
Buy Ted Purdy over Brad Faxon at 0.8 with
Cantor Spreadfair for
0.3 Pts M/U -22, Loss 6.84 Pts
In the last 6 events both of these players
have played in, Purdy has won 5 of the 6 matches and this superiority is
evident in Faxon's recent form where he has missed his last three cuts and
only contributed two top 20's in seventeen starts this year with a best
finish of 16th. Purdy is by no means having a great season himself but on
form this year should be favourite by more than what is effectively "choice"
at the exchange.