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Another set of matchups over before the fat lady has time to clear her throat.
FINAL RESULT Clark beat Ogilvy (mc) Parnevik (mc) was beaten by Perry Singh beat Furyk (mc)
Bets: 3 Wins: 2 Losses: 1 Profit/Loss = +2.15 pts
Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts )
Tim Clark to beat Geoff Ogilvy +105 @ Carib Both Clark and Ogilvy have been at the top of their games this season. Clark with six top 20 finishes from 11 starts and Ogilvy has an incredible eight top 20 starts from his eleven starts. Also, both players have little form to speak of in previous appearances at this event; Clark with a missed cut and a 67th place finish and Ogilvy with a missed cut and a 57th place finish. However, there is clear evidence that justifies our support of Clark. Firstly, despite Ogilvy's superb form this season in the h2h's he trails Clark 5-2 this season and he retains that clear superiority when the h2h's are extended over the last 12 and 36 months. In addition, anyone who saw Clark perform at the Masters will have no doubts that he should be the more suited by the courses used here (both of which have tree-lined fairways and place a premium on accuracy). Clarks' GIR stats this year read 66-1-1-1-56-68-19-6-12 and his driving accuracy stats are just as good. Ogilvy on the other hand is currently 87th on the tour for driving accuracy (Clark is 20th) and 124th for GIR (Clark is 13th). By my reckoning Clark should be the one at -125.
Jesper Parnevik to beat Kenny Perry -110 @ Victor Chandler Parnevik has shown some decent recent form with finishes of 52-44-31-14 and has only one missed cut from 13 starts this season. So there are clear signs that his game is in good shape at the moment and in addition he won this event in 2000 and has a couple of other top 20 finishes. Kenny Perry meanwhile has been out of action since the Ford Championship at the beginning of March with a knee injury. There have to be doubts regarding his fitness this week and there is a feeling that he is using this more as a warm up for next weeks Colonial where he is a dual previous winner. Against a player such as Parnevik who is in form and leads Perry in the h2h's 3-1 this season these are decent odds that are bound to be taken. Hard to assess what the expected odds for this match up should be given the uncertainty surrounding around Perry's fitness, but probably in the region of -130 as I make Parnevik -120 in a straight match up.
Further Matchup bets: (Total Stake 2pts )
Vijay Singh to beat Jim Furyk +110 @ 5Dimes So Furyk won last weekend and Vijay finished with an 81 to come in 38th. Also in an event that requires accurate shot making we have Furyk who is 3rd for driving accuracy and Singh is 129th on the tour. Also Furyk has two top 5 finishes here in previous starts and has shown great consistency here. But if there ever was a shot-maker it's Singh. Despite being 129th for driving accuracy he is 4th for GIR. Despite Furyk's form in this event Singh leads the h2h's in this event 4-1, winning in 2003 and finishing 3rd last year. Despite his indifferent form, Singh also leads the h2h's 6-2 this season. So yes there are question marks surrounding his game but not to this extent. I have Singh as a very slight favourite and that closing 81 will if anything inspire a player like Singh rather than hold him back.
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