FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -3.53pts

Cink 11th
Immelman 5th
Johnson 60th

It was set up perfectly for Immelman. One shot behind an unproven leader with one round to play, he really should have done better than be 2-over-par after seven holes. In the end, he should have done better than a 5-way tie for 5th place, but he had the 2nd 3-putt of the day on the last hole. And so the slump continues.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Stewart Cink to win 16/1 e.w. available generally
He might have been 50/1 two weeks ago, but that was against a very strong field whereas this is not and the way that he came back at Tiger to almost claim the win is in stark contrast to Vijay Singh last week who also had to defend an overnight final round lead against Woods. His runners-up finish via that playoff loss was his fourth top-5 finishes in this last six PGA Tour events and he also finished in the top-5 two years in his last Canadian Open. But the thick rough around the tight fairways and greens at Hamilton should also suit his game and another top-5 finish is to be expected.

Trevor Immelman to win 22/1 e.w. @ Centrebet
In terms of driving accuracy and greens in regulation, Immelman is still some way from the peak of his game in May to July before he took five weeks out, during which time his first child was born. But his 13th place finish against a very strong field in the Bridgestone Invitational was a significant step forward and only Cink, Furyk and Oberholser from this field finishes ahead of him that week. He finished 7th in this event last year, which was his best performance on this Tour to date bar the 2005 Masters, and if he is getting back to his mid-summer form, he really should have a very good chance of winning this event.

Zach Johnson to win 50/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and BlueSq
This is a short par-70 course, measuring only 6,900 yards and putting a premium on accuracy of drives and iron shots and that can only be good for Zach Johnson. He was always going to struggle in his last outing at the 7,360 yard Firestone (South Course) and he duely ranked 70th of 76 in driving distance that week, but the fact that he ranked 2nd in greens in regulation shows how well he was striking the ball given such a driving handicap that week. That will not be an issue this week and he should go well. He may have blown the final round lead in the International when finding awful trouble with his drive on the opening hole and taking a seven, but his ball-striking is good, he has two runners-up finishes against much stronger fields already this year and he has the confidence boost of making the Ryder Cup team on merit.