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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

   

Chrysler Championship

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Final Result
 
Funk beat Verplank by 5
Howell III (mc) beaten by Maruyama
Senden (mc) beaten by Pampling
Parnevik beat Weir by 5
Baddeley (mc) beaten by Sabbatini
 
Bets: 5        Wins: 2        Losses: 3        Profit/Loss = -1.70pts
 
 
Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts)
 
Fred Funk to beat Scott Verplank                                -101 @ Pinnacle
Since the Masters back in April Funk's form has been a revelation, with no missed cuts, an average FP of
28th and a victory on the Champions Tour last week. Verplank has been a major disappointment this season
for someone who is reknowned for his consistency. In h2h's over the last 6 months it's 6-3 to Funk and he has
the previous decent course experience to work from. Although Verplank has no course experience he should
be suited to this type of course. But they have such similar games that almost any course that Verplank is suited
to means that Funk will also be suited by it. The recent and overall consistent form of Funk makes him the
favourite by my estimates. Value at odds above -120.
***** Funk is now available at +104 with Pinnacle and +100 at TheGreek ****
 
Charles Howell III to beat Shigeki Maruyama           -102 @ Pinnacle
After all the tinkering to his swing Howell's game at long last seems to be falling into place. And the one area
that has shown the most improvement is hitting greens in regulation. In his last 7 starts he has been in the top 20
for GIR each time he has made the cut and even managed to hit 78% and 86% GIR when missing the cut on
the 2 other occassions. Maruyama's current and overall form lacks consistency. The h2h's are extremely close
over the past 6 months but his current form is not as good as Howell's and on the one occassion he played this
course Maruyama finished a decent 27th, but nine places behind Howell. Value at odds above -125.
 
 
Additional Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts)
 
John Senden to beat Rod Pampling                              -105 @ Pinnacle
Pampling has been very selective with his starts recently and there is every chance that he is using this week solely
as a warm up to next weeks Tour Championship event. Senden on the other hand has a lot more to play for as a
win or second will send to the Tour Championship and a top 40 finish on the money list will book him a place at
Augusta for the first time. Senden's form recently has been decent and consistent, as has his previous form here.
Pampling has a 4th place finish here back in 2002 and two subsequent poor finishes. But the extra motivation of
Senden could be key here. 
 
Jesper Parnevik to beat Mike Weir                             -110 @ Skybet
Past h2h stats between these two is very close no matter what time period you look over. In recent weeks Parnevik
has only one poor performance while Weir has only one decent performance. From previous starts here again
Parnevik has only one poor performance while Weir has only one decent performance.But when Parnevik is in
form it regularly pays to side with him. His form is littered with streaks of good and poor periods of form and with
hs current sound form he has a good chance to beat Weir who continues to disappoint in regular PGA tour events.
 
 
Additional Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 1.5pts)
 
Aaron Baddeley to beat Rory Sabbatini                       +137 @ Pinnacle
Both players have decent current form and have very poor course form. Altohugh in previous years Baddeley has
went into this event (and came out of it) in poor form. Although the h2h's reads 9-1 in favour of Sabbatini this year
there is evidence to suggect that this could be the second victory of the year for Baddeley. He has decent form in
previous Florida events giving hope that his good recent form can be carried through to this event. While Sabbatini's
form in Florida is very poor. From 21 starts he has 3 top-50 finishes, a 16th place finish back in 2000 and a 9th
place finish in 2004, bith in the Honda Classic. And a 42nd place finish in the 2004 Players Championship thanks
solely to a stunning second round. If this form continues then any half-decent finish by Baddeley could see him win
this. Sabbatini should be clear favourite but the odds on Badds are excessively large.