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FINAL RESULT Cink beat Sabbatini by 10 - WIN Oberholser beat Glover (mc) - WIN Taylor beat Maruyama by 1 - LOSE
Bets: 3 Wins: 2 Losses: 1 Profit/Loss = +2.22 pts
Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts )
Stewart Cink to beat Rory Sabbatini -110 @ BetInternet Cink is a bit of a regular at this event having played every year since 1997 and he has a very decent record with finishes of 15/41/21/02/26/33/13/14/57. After a superb 2004 he had a largely disappointing 2005 due to a serious deterioration in his putting, but things have picked up again this season with recent finishes of 24/10/27/26. He also has a good record on par 70 courses. Sabbatini form is chequered on this course; 70/w (after an opening round of 79)/mc/05/31/06. His current form of mc/36/52/61 has shown promise but still poorer than Cink's. Cink also leads the h2h's over all time periods and I make him a -135 shot.
Arron Oberholser to beat Lucas Glover +120 @ Pinnacle I can't agree with these odds based on historical form. Glover has had a number of top 20 finishes this season, as has Oberholser. But while Oberholser's consistency has ensured that he has yet to miss the cut this season, Glover has done so three times. Oberholser has a decent record in texas, performs better on bentgrass greens and finished 21st here last season. Glover has relatively poor texas form and in his two previous starts here he has yet to make the cut. Oberholser is also more likely to be suited to this par to course which places a premium on accuracy. Oberholser also leads Glover on the h2h's over all time periods and by my reckoning he should be a slight favourite at -115.
Shigeki Maruyama to beat Vaughn Taylor -111 @ Expekt Maruyama has very decent form in this event with four top 20 finishes from seven starts. He has also showed a nice return to form recently with a 26th (would have been better but for a poor last round) and a 6th place finish. Also has decent form on par 70 courses and on bentgrass greens, upon which his three tour wins have come. Taylor has little course form to speak of and has been woefully inconsistent this season with four top 10 finishes but five missed cuts from his thirteen starts. Maruyama average FP is over 4 shots better than Taylor and with the advantage of course knowledge and form anything over -130 is worth a bet.
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