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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds: Spreads

   

Deutsche Bank Championship

Spread Betting News (Sporting Index)

Summary: 8 Bets, 4 Wins, 4 Losses. Loss 11.1 Pts

Tournament Trades
 
Buy Sean O' Hair FP at 27 with IG Sport for 0.6 Pts M/U 50, Profit 13.8 Pts
We have been opposing O'Hair recently as his price has fallen dramatically as a result of an upturn in his form. Still, even with a 4th and 12th in his last two events, 27 is very low for a player who has beaten that number only four times in twenty two starts this year.

Buy Lucas Glover FP at 28 with
IG Sport for 0.6 Pts M/U 13, Loss 9 Pts
Glover is also pretty low at 28 given that he seems to put a lot of poor finishes in with the good ones and in 24 starts this year he has failed to make the Top 50 in 10 of them. His last 12 events have produced 8 maximum 50 M/U's and he certainly isn't performing at the level he was early in the year. An excellent 4th last week, his first Top 10 since May has made him popular this week and is priced under 30 with IG when he should arguably be just a little over.
 
Buy Robert Allenby FP at 27 with IG Sport for 0.6 Pts M/U 4.5 Loss 13.5 Pts
Allenby has been a regular player for us to oppose recently, and admittedly he has performed well costing us money on a few occasions but he is still value at 27. His seasonal average is over 30 and even allowing for his great run of the last two months, he is worth taking on at the price.

Buy Jerry Kelly FP at 33 with
IG Sport for 0.6 Pts M/U 50, Profit 10.2 Pts
23 starts for Kelly this year and over half of them making up at the maximum 50 in FP trading. His successes include 2nd in the US Bank and 5th in the Heritage but good weeks have been few and far between.

Buy Camilo Villegas at 35 with
IG Sport for 0.6 Pts M/U 50, Profit 9 Pts
Villegas is not unlike a few of the other big hitters like Bubba Watson who can produce some very high numbers when their game isn't firing. Another with 23 starts this season and 13 of those were maximum return for buyers, with only 7 of the 23 starts beating this weeks quote and therefore giving a seasonal average of 39.

Buy J. J. Henry at 35 with
IG Sport for 0.6 Pts M/U 6, Loss 17.4 Pts
Another player embarking on his 24th start of the year and like Villegas and Kelly he has a very high maximum strike rate for FP buyers with 12 finishes worse than 50th and only 4 top 10's. Through these good weeks though he has managed to qualify for the Ryder Cup and may have this on the back of his mind.
 
Round One Trades

Sell Tiger Woods over Aaron Baddeley 18H MB at 17 with Sporting Index for 0.3 Pts M/U 13, Profit 1.2 Pts
In the week I support Dougherty in Europe I find myself supporting "Badds" in the States, strange days indeed. With a winning run now up at 4, Woods is trading at prices akin to his 2000 heyday and in this match-up even allowing for the almost perfect golf he has given us since July, he is slightly over-priced. A quick visit to Ireland early in the week to see the K Club won't help preparation for this week even although it is a Friday start and with this an event he has yet to win we may see the run come to an end on Monday night. Whether he does win or not though is of no consequence to this bet where he has to give up 3 strokes to his opponent. Their H2H stats show an average R1 M/U of 16 but noticeably Tiger hasn't beaten Badds by more than 7 strokes in 15 events going back 18 months.

Sell Joe Ogilvie over Bo Van Pelt 18H MB at 1 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts M/U 19, Loss 5.4 Pts
A Top 3 place last week sees Ogilvie get favouritism in his match this week with Van Pelt. However, Ogilvie has only won one of their last 12 matches and is therefore opposed getting a 1pt start to be with Bo. Course form favours Van Pelt also with a 10th place last year against this being Ogilvie's course debut.