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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

Ford Championship

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FINAL RESULT

 

Clark beat Leonard by 7

Rose (mc) was beaten by Parnevik

Els was beaten by Woods by 7

Singh was beaten by Woods by 9

O'Hair beat Parry (mc)

 

Bets: 5     Wins: 2     Losses: 3     Profit/Loss = -0.58 pts

 

 

Matchup bets: (Total Stake 2pts)

 

Tim Clark to beat Justin Leonard                          -110 @ BetInternet

Surprised to see these odds have lasted given the consistency of Clark. Three top 20 finishes from four starts this

year and a decent 16th place finish in this event last year indicates that there is no reason to expect anything other

than another decent showing here from Clark. It is his fourth consecutive start which would be a worry, but he did

get out of last weeks Matchplay event pretty early so I'm not too concerned. Leonard has shown mixed form this

year (2 good finishes, 3 average finishes and a missed cut) and that coincides with mixed fortunes at this event (only

decent finishes from 8 starts and 3 missed cuts). Clark holds a 10-4-1 lead in the h2h's over the last 12 months and 

I would have expected him to be favourite here.

 

Justin Rose to beat Jesper Parnevik                    +100Pinnacle, 5Dimes 

I'm more than willing to take on Parnevik this week given his recent deterioration in form. Parnevik has had some very

good finishes here over the years but he is a player who relies on confidence and his slump in form (2-10-33-mc-75)

hardly bodes well for this week. Rose on the other hand is beginning to show some decent consistency on the PGA tour.

He has had two top 20 finishes from his five starts this year and put in a decent showing last year, including a couple of

67's. He leads the h2h's over the last 12 months by 9-8-2 so given Parnevik's slump these odds are quite attractive. 

 

 

 

Matchup bets: (Total Stake 1pt)

 

Ernie Els to beat Tiger Woods                                +180 @ Pinnacle                   Total Stake 1pt

Vijay Singh to beat Tiger Woods                           +172 @ Pinnacle                   Total Stake 1pt

Woods has a first and second place finish in his last two starts in this event but both Els and Singh also have excellent

records in this event (Els winning this event last time he played in 2002 and Singh has five top 5 finishes). Admittedly

neither Els nor Singh are currently in top form, but they have the class and course experience to potentially turn this

around this week. Woods' driving is woefully inconsistent at the moment and he is relying on his iron play and putter to

regularly get him out of trouble. Given the h2h's over the last 12 months of 3-3-1 (Els v Woods) and 6-7-1 (Singh v

Woods) it's hard not to take these odds.

 

Sean O'Hair to beat Craig Parry                            +160 @ 5Dimes                      Total Stake 1pt

No, I've not lost the plot. This is another matchup where the odds are far too big to ignore. O'Hair played magnificently

last year and it is a shame to see his game deteriorate so badly this year. Hopefully last weeks defeat of Couples in the

Matchplay might spark some life into his game and give him the confidence to start recapturing some of last years form. 

To further compound things, Parry does have an excellent record in this event, winning it in 2004 and finishing 6th last

year. But we're getting +160 here on a O'Hair, who has obvious talent, to beat Parry who hasn't made a PGA tour cut

since June 2005 and who missed the cut last time out on the Australasian Tour. It's well worth the risk with the reduced

stake.