Outright Picks - PGA Tour |
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Verizon Heritage |
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FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -1.13pts
Furyk 2nd
Pettersson 68th
Owen 52nd
These weekend collapses are becoming rather draining ... I need a new outright
betting market! In the last five weeks, one player each week has faltered from a
great position over the weekend: Glover, Scott, Warren, Singh and now Furyk.
Over the last five weeks, I've lost over 15pts on PGA Tour outrights, but if
they had been graded after the 1st round or the 3rd round, I would have made
31.51pts more profit. And if they had been graded after the 2nd, profits over
the last five weeks would have been 87.20pts higher! Only Cabrera's place finish
last week would have been lost. What a frustrating season!
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Jim Furyk to win 14/1 e.w. @
Stan James,
Ladbrokes
and
BetDirect
Furyk fits the bill perfectly this week. This is often described as a "thinking
man's course", this is a course that has over two-thirds of its champions being
major winners and only a couple of winners in the past couple of decades had
missed the cut at Augusta. In fact, Furyk should be in better shape than most,
having been the first person to compete on Saturday and so not have to complete
more than 18 holes on Sunday. He was 2nd here two years ago and really should go
close to improving that mark this time.
Carl Pettersson to win 66/1 e.w. @
BetInternet
and
BetFred
Pettersson also made the cut comfortably last week on his debut in the Masters
and he has been nothing but impressive on the PGA Tour since winning his first
title on this Tour last October. Since that win he has had four further top-10
finishes in ten starts, including 8th in the Players Championship. This week's
field is nowhere near as strong and with a 3rd place finish already achieved on
this course (2004), he represents good value at these odds.
Greg Owen to win 80/1 e.w. @
BetInternet
Although he achieved two top-5 finishes last year, it has been in the last month
that Owen has really caught some attention, infamously for that three-putt when
poised to win the Bay Hill Invitational (he finished 2nd), but also for the way
that he responded the following week in the Players Championship: he was in the
top-10 at the cut. But that was a continuation of his previous form since the
Tour left the West Coast - top-20 finishes in both Florida events before Bay
Hill - and there is no reason why that shouldn't continue this week. He did
finish in the top-20 on his debut here last year, after all. |