Matchup bets: (Total Stake: 2pts)

Fred Couples to beat Justin Leonard                           -110 @ BlueSq  

Not much to separate these players on course form, or on Florida form. But -110 is value once you start looking at current 

form and the class of Couples. Couples has started the year in good form with a couple of top ten finishes and that is clearly

superior to Leonard who disappointed again last week with a 69th place finish. Couples has finished ahead in the 2 h2h's they

have had to date this season and defeated Leonard in 9 out of the 14 h2h's last season. Given current form and the general

superiority of Couples I make him clear favourite (around the -125 mark) in this matchup.

Carl Pettersson to beat Trevor Immelman                 -125 @ Pinnacle 

I don't plan to go for many favourites but this is still such good value. Pettersson has shown excellent consistency this

year with finishes of 21-10-35-43-07-17. Immelman has started the year brightly but his form is tailing off slightly with

finishes of 20-07-41-64. Pettersson has finishes of 13th and 46th in his two previous starts on this course while Immelman

has no previous course experience. Pettersson has also won 6 of the last 7 h2h's with other being tied. But the big clincher

is their respective Florida form. Pettersson won last time out in Florida at the Chrysler and has five other top 20 finishes.

Immelman's Florida form is shocking with finishes of mc-mc-46-mc-mc-mc-64. -140 is the very highest that Pettersson

should be for this one.

Matchup bets: (Total Stake 1pt)

Luke Donald to beat David Toms                          +135 @ Carib

Just had to take this price as I can't see this being a true reflection of the difference in ability. Donald's form this season

is second to only one player, Toms. Donald doesn't have any course experience (Toms has finishes of 25th and 5th) but

given how good an iron player there is no reason to suggest anything other than a top ten finish in this company. Donald's

Florida form has always looked suspect be he should have won The Players Championship last time out in Florida and Toms

form last season was inconsistent with Florida finishes of 05-05-68-mc. Toms had the better h2h record last season 4-3-1

but this record can almost solely be attributed to Donald. When Toms was the victor Donald's finishes were mc-57-40-66.

When Donald performs to his true ability there are not many golfers out there who can match him and +135 certainly does

not represent his true chances if he does that this week.

Vance Veazey to beat Paul Azinger                     +100 @ 5Dimes

Not one to get to involved in and very much a play against Azinger who despite showing some promise at the Bob Hope

with a 19th place finish has subsequently had a 55th place, a withdrawal after an opening round of 82 and a missed cut

last week. His record on this course is mc-mc and his record in Florida over the past 3 years is 12 missed cuts out of 16

starts. Hardly the stuff made of -130 shots and there is an obvious chance that a missed cut will follow again this week.

Admittedly Veazey is no great shakes but he has shown a bit of consistency on the PGA tour this season with finishes of

72-39-33-24. He has no previous course form but he does have some decent scrambling stats, something he'll probably

need given his poor GIR stats (although T20th last time out for GIR's). However despite being ranked 101st for GIR in this

field, he still beats Azinger. Reduced stakes due to the quality of the players but I would have Veazey at least joint fav.

One other superb piece of value I did note was for Branshaw to defeat Flesch. Fleasch is at -122 with 5Dimes while I

actually make Branshaw a favourite at around -120. But that's only if you ignore Branshaw's Florida form which is dreadful.

He does look to be a vastly improved player this season but I have reluctantly resisted given that doubt.