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FINAL RESULT Ames (mc) beaten by Howell - LOSE Maruyana (wd) beaten by Poulter - LOSE Clark beat Ogilvy by 3 - WIN
Bets: 3 Wins: 1 Losses: 2 Profit/Loss = -2.10 pts
Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts )
Stephen Ames to beat David Howell +100 @ FiveDimes Howell, who has been struggling with a back injury recently, showed his class by winning the BMW championship last weekend at Wentworth. But there are good reasons to oppose him this weekend. Firstly this is a step up in class from last weeks event; there is the possible recurrance of the back injury; a cross-Atlantic flight to cope with, but most importantly he still has to show that he has the class to compete on the PGA tour yet. The signs are promising with four decent finishes this season, but he still has missed the cut on 50% of his appearances here last season. Ames on the other hand started started slowly this season but has shown great form recently. He's now showing the consistency that you want to rely on from players in matchups, he has shown he acts on the course and his recent GIR stats (an important criteria in previous events) has been astonishing with 75% greens hit at the Wachovia and 79.2% at The Colonial. Ames has a great chance of going close this week and I would be willingto take odds up to -125.
Shigeki Maruyama to beat Ian Poulter -110 @ SportingOdds Poulter has been back in Europe for the past few weeks, churning out his usual brand of "What Next!!!" golf. Some of the displays he put in showed the ability he has yet others showed what little concentration he possesses. Simply put, he's the type of player that you don't want on your side in matchups. Maruyama has a tendancy to play in fits and spurts, with a number of poor displays grouped together. But when he gets on a roll he is generally consistent. He has now had four decent finishes in a row after a sticky start to the season. He has a couple of top ten finishes on the course and his average FP is over 10 places better than Poulter on this tour. The general consistency of Maruyama appeals a lot more as a betting alternative to Poulter's game at the moment.
Tim Clark to beat Geoff Ogilvy -105 @ FiveDimes / Pinnacle Both players have shown good form this season with Clark in particular showing some amazing iron play and although they missed the cut last time out this was in an event that they have a very poor record. Despite both players having rather indifferent form from previous visits here I would expect Clark to be more suited by the course as he is the more accurate player and has the better short game. But ultimately the reason for the selection is that he just a better player than Ogilvy. In regular 72 hole tournaments this season he leads 6-1 in h2h's and during the 2005 season he defeated Ogilvy 9-5 on the tour. Given that if anyone has the advantage in terms of course or current form it's Clark then I would make him between -125 and -130 for this matchup.
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