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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

   

Reno-Tahoe Open

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Final Result
 
Micheel beaten by Durant by 2
Hoffman beat May (mc)
Parnevik (mc) beaten by Triplett
 
Bets: 3        Wins: 1        Losses: 2        Profit/Loss = -2.18
 
 
Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts)
 
Shaun Micheel to beat Joe Durant                     -110 @ Skybet
Micheel is the better player with an average FP this season of 38.5 compared with Durant's 48.6 and leads the h2h's by 8-4-1.
Durant last time out finished 3rd in the Buick Open, his first decent showing since April, but that can't be held in teh same light
as Micheel's second place finish in the PGA last weekend and his 13th place finish at the US Bank last month. Micheel's form
on this course reads 42-mc-30, which is still better than Durant's previous form of 50-77-mc. There is always the possibility of
a potential negative reaction to his second place finish last weekend but when he won the PGA in 2001 he followed that up with
a creditable 23rd place finish at the Invitational. Odds above -130 look good to me.
 
Charley Hoffman to beat Bob May                    -110 @ Carib
Hoffman has had a decent season with only 6 missed cuts from 21 starts, 3 top ten finishes and an average FP of 36.9. May has
been markedly less successful with 5 missed cuts from his 13 starts, 1 top ten finish and an average FP of 40.5. Hoffman has the
better current form and leads the h2h's this season 5-3. Hoffman has no course form to speak of while May has a mixed bag with
a 3rd place finish in 2000 and followed that up with a missed cut in 2001. Hoffman has shown a lor more this season in temrs of
class and consistency and has a good chance to take this. Odds above -125.
 
Jesper Parnevik to beat Kirk Triplett                -110 @ Expekt
Parnevik had a great chance to win this event last year but closed with a disappointing 74 to finish in 9th place. Triplett did win this
event in 2003 but his only previous start resulted in a missed cut. Apart from his win in this seasons Chrysler Triplett has shown
precious little form. His main problem seems to be that he is a very slow starter to tournaments (his average round 1 placing is
almost 70th while Parnevik's is just over 50th) which invariably leads to missed cuts. His recent form doesn't give much
encouragement while Parnevik's is decent with a 7th place finish and then narrowly missing the cut at the PGA. I can't see much
encouragement for Triplett here and -130 and above seems value.