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Outright Picks - PGA Tour |
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U.S. Open |
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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts Donald 12th
Immelman 21st
Cink 37th This tournament was over for these selections by the end of Thursday
after they shot 78, 76 and 75 respectively. So it is scant consolation that
Donald shot the lowest 54-hole score by two shots thereafter and finished just
four shots out of a potential playoff. Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Luke Donald to win 33/1 e.w. @
William Hill
Already a winner on the PGA Tour this year, Donald is certainly Europe's best
hope of winning the U.S. Open and this event is his best hope of winning a
Major. He recently complained that the courses on the European Tour were
generally set up too easy for his game, so he should be in his element this
week. He has only played in this event twice so far, finishing 18th around
Bethpage State Park in 2002 and being a contender for three rounds last year
until a final round 80, but that is still a solid foundation of U.S. Open
experience. And now that he is more established as a senior player on the PGA
Tour, he is more capable of winning an event like this. He ranks 4th in Scoring
Average on Tour, after all. Not the most generous of odds for this player, but
with so many question marks over many of the leading players, including
Mickelson's obvious over-preparation, this could certainly be his year.
Trevor Immelman to win 66/1 e.w. @
Stan James,
Victor
Chandler,
UKBetting,
Tote
and
Totalbet
No-one is playing as consistently well on Tour at the moment as Immelman. In the
last two months, he has finished 11th, 2nd, 2nd, 6th, 7th and 13th. Even when it
looked as though he had run out of steam last week and made the cut right on the
mark, he climbed 57 places in the 3rd round to 13th and maintained his position
on Sunday when it is very common to rebound after such a low round. On that
form, he certainly warrants shorter odds and in terms of his ability to play on
a U.S. Open-type course, it is worth noting that in his last attempt (2004), he
was in the top-10 heading into the weekend.
Stewart Cink to win 80/1 e.w. @
BetInternet
[six places]
Cink has been threatening to put together a really good tournament since
finishing in the top-10 in the Masters. In his last four starts, he has been 8th
(Wachovia Championship), 1st (The Colonial) and 3rd (Memorial Tournament) after
the 1st round and not only has he been starting events well, he has also been
finishing them well - he ranks 4th on Tour in final round scoring average this
season. He just needs to stay in contention in rounds two and three! But even
then, he is still playing well enough to warrant shorter odds than this: he
ranks 9th in Scoring Average on Tour this season and completes a trio of players
ranked in the top-10 in that all-important category. And in terms of experience
in the U.S. Open, although he famously lost his concentration on the last green
in 2001 and it cost him a place in the playoff, his record in this event in very
impressive. He missed the cut at the extremely long Bethpage State Park in 2002
and the links-style Shinnecock Hills in 2004, but otherwise his worst finish
since 1996 has been 32nd, finishing in the top-20 in six of the last ten years.
He is clearly well-equipped for the USGA's test of mental strength and he is
playing well enough this year to earn another chance at victory in his national
Open.
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