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PICKS:
Outright
Betfair
Matchups
18H Matchups
Spreads
STATS: Tour Event In-Running
PROFILES: Players Event
Live Scoring
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Final Result Ogilvy beat Baddeley by 10
Gove (mc) beaten by Faxon
Weir beat Love III (mc)
O'Hair beat O'Hern (mc)
Watson beat Villegas by 1
Bets: 5 Wins: 4 Losses: 1 Profit/Loss = + 7.06 pts
Matchup bets:
Stake 3pts Geoff Ogilvy to beat Aaron Baddeley -110 @ Paddy Power & Skybet Baddeley has performed with admirable credit and consistency this season, while Ogilvy has been rather erratic. But
I don't think he yet deserves to be joint favourite with Ogilvy yet. Badds is still quite wayward off the tee and has a
missed cut in his only appearance here. Despite Ogilvy's form this season he still leads the h2h's this season 7-4 and
has a decent 29th place finish back here in 2005.
Stake 4pts Jeff Gove to beat Brad Faxon -130 @ Pinnacle Gove has hardly had a great season so far but it's still far better than Faxon who in 14 starts this season has managed
to make the cut in only 3 attempts, compared with Gove's 6 missed cuts from 16 starts. And despite the short price
available here it is still considered value given Gove's h2h record with Faxon this season where he currently holds a
15-3 lead.
Stake 3pts Mike Weir to beat Davis Love III -110 @ Bet365 Love has an excellent record here with a 2nd place finish in the Booz Allen in 2005 and a 16th place finish in the 1997
US Open. But Love this season is a shadow of his former self with only one top-20 finish in his last 10 starts and an
average FP of 40th. Weir on the other hand has been remarkably consistent with only 2 missed cuts, an average FP of
35th and a h2h lead this season over Love of 10-4. A lot of the reasoning behind this price is down to Love's previous
record here, which given the current state of his game he certainly cannot be expected to reproduce.
Stake 3pts Sean O'Hair to beat Nick O'Hern +100 @ Bet365 Similarly with the top match up, O'Hern has started to show excellent consistency on the tour now and is performing with
great credit, but I don't believe he should be favourite against O'Hair who I still view as a class above O'Hern. O'Hern has
put together some decent finishes recently but his stats are still not in the same league as O'Hair and in h2h's this season
O'Hair holds a commanding 8-3 lead. O'Hair's putting does leave a lot to be desired and he will still find one too good if
it doesn't improve but he shouldn't be this price solely to finish ahead of O'Hair.
Further Matchup bet:
Stake 3pts Bubba Watson to beat Camilo Villegas -115 @ Carib Given the length of the Congressional and from the previous evidence of the 2005 Booz Allen Watson should enjoy this
course which favours the longer hitter. Rather unfairly, earlier in the season Watson was viewed as a one-trick pony,
someone with incredible length, but little regard for the rest of his game. But he has shown this season, particularly last time
out with a fifth place finish on the US Open, that there is more to hs game. So he should be favoured by the course, has
excellent recent form and holds an 11-8 lead over the more inconsistent Villegas over the last 12 months. |
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