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Bets: 8, Wins: 6, Losses: 2, Profit 50.16 Pts

Bet 1 - Buy Colin Montgomerie FP at 47 with Sporting Index / Bet HiLo for 0.6 Pts M/U 48.5, Profit 1.35 Pts
Monty's career at the highest level is probably on a downward spiral, no matter what positives he gives out, and it is noticeable that his first cut miss here in 7 starts came last year. He has had a good record round here averaging 42 in those 7 starts, but 47 seems a fair price given his season to date.

 

Bet 2 - Buy K. J. Choi FP at 41 with IG Sport for 0.6 Pts. M/U 79 (WD), Profit 22.8 Pts
A man in good current form but with a poorish record round here (average FP 48), he seems value to oppose in the low 40's in what is the best field of the year so far for a basic stroke-play event.

Bet 3 - Buy John Senden FP at 45 with IG Sport for 0.6 Pts. Non runner

Senden has absolutely no form here, missing two cuts and finishing 50th in his other start. He is a better player than that of course, but is worth opposing again on those results, even although he finished 2nd at the weekend. Results bar last week have been average at best so 45 is fair.

Bet 4 - Sell Niclas Fasth over Bo Van Pelt 18H MB at 0 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts M/U -16, Profit 4.8 Pts
Two top 30's in three starts here for Van Pelt and fair form this season with a 13th place at the Sony and 11th at the AT&T already posted. He shouldn't be outsider against a Euro Tour player who has PGA form of 9 missed cuts in his last 10 starts.

Bet 5 - Sell Tiger Woods over Ernie Els 72H MB at 5.65 with Sporting Index / Bet HiLo for 0.6 Pts M/U -1, Profit 3.99 Pts
A flawless record here at the turn of the century but a 46/23/20 record in his last three starts shows that Woods is arguably no longer the "owner" of this tournament. Els hasn't been particularly impressive here either recently but he is getting nearly 1.5 strokes a start each round which is just a bit too high.

Bet 6 - Sell Paul Casey over Stewart Cink 72H MB at -0.55 with Sporting Index / Bet HiLo for 0.6 Pts M/U 4, Loss 2.73 Pts
Finishes of 6/15/2/46/8/cut since the turn of the century shows Cink has a liking for this place and with current form of 8 Top 25's in his last 11 tour starts he seems a fair proposition in this matchup. He is giving up only half a stroke over 4 days against Casey who has a course record of one 77 before withdrawing in his only appearance. Cink should be favourite on this course although not necessarily so on others, as Casey is arguably a better player.

Bet 7 - Sell Will Mackenzie over Vaughn Taylor 18H MB at -1.5 with Spreadex or 0.3 Pts M/U -37, Profit 10.65 Pts
Taylor has a 10-5 H2H record over Mackenzie in the last year and is priced at choice probably because Taylor's course form here is poor. I feel though that MacKenzie may struggle round here and that with the known info of results and stats available, Taylor should be outright favourite.

Bet 8 - Sell Johan Edfors over Johnson Wagner 18H MB at 0 with Sporting Index / Bet HiLo for 0.3 Pts M/U 16, Loss 4.8 Pts
Edfors throws in a few big results from time to time and has a difficult course to comprehend in his 2nd PGA start after a missed cut in the 06' PGA. Wagner has had a good start to his 07' season with only one missed cut in seven starts, therefore Wagner should be clear favourite with so many question marks over Edfors on this tour.

Bet 9 - Sell Jeev Milkha Singh over Rocco Mediate 18H MB at 1 with Sporting Index / Bet HiLo for 0.3 Pts M/U -46, Profit 14.1 Pts
A 3rd place in 02' here and only one missed cut in nine starts for Mediate shows he plays better here than his general tour average. Singh, like Edfors, is a rookie here and two missed cuts and a 59th on US soil was joined by a R1 exit in the recent matchplay. Mediate has every reason to be aggrieved at this price (if he knew what spread betting was).