|
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
|
|
|||||
PICKS:
Outright
Betfair
Matchups
18H Matchups
Spreads
STATS: Tour Event In-Running
PROFILES: Players Event
Live Scoring
Archive |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
Final Result Garcia beaten by Allenby by 9
Kim beat Choi (mc)
Donald beat Mickelson by 2
O'Hair beat Howell III (mc)
Maruyama beaten by Verplank by 12
Wetterich beat Weir by 2
Bets: 6 Wins: 4 Losses: 2 Profit/Loss = + 6.19 pts
Matchup bets:
Stake 4pts Sergio Garcia to beat Robert Allenby -110 @ Stan James An on form Garcia with conditions in his favour shoud not be this price against Allenby. Both players have been
in good form of late but Garcia leads the 3 month h2h by 3-1. And both players have decent previous form in
this event but again Garcia leads the course h2h by 5-2. Normally the downfall of Garcia has been his regular
failings with the putter but traditionally this is not an event which penalises the poor putters so we should expect
a decent showing from him this week.
Stake 3pts Anthony Kim to beat K.J. Choi -111 @ Centrebet I had reservations regarding Kim's ability to put in another good finish last week after he hit less than 50% of the
GIR at the Heritage. When he struggled to make the cut I thought my fears would be backed up but then he shoots
69-65 to finish 3rd and in the process hits almost 82% of GIR. His all-round stats are quite formidable and if there
is any sort of weakness in his game it might be round the greens. Given this all-round ability bis current form and his
two top-ten finishes in Texas from two starts I have to consider this price as value. Choi recent form is decent but his
record here from five previous starts is less than impressive and if Kim's form holds up for another week he should
able to take this. He's a young player with one hell of a future on his current showings.
Stake 3pts Luke Donald to beat Phil Mickelson +100 @ Stan James
This is a course which makes this play a must. A course that favours accuracy and with the greens apparently of
poor quality will not favour the top putters. So we have Donald who's game is based on accuracy against Mickelson,
one of the best putters around who has now called in Butch to sort out the main weakness in his game, driving
accuracy. Given the conditions of the course, Mickelson's rather uninspiring previous form here and that in the last
12 months on the tour the h2h record is 5-4 in Donalds favour then it reasonable to assume that it is primarily
Mickelson's name that is resulting in him being the favourite in this match up. Stake 4pts Sean O'Hair to beat Charles Howell III -107 @ Pinnacle
While O'Hair continued his good form with another top-20 finish last week Howell has been subdued of late after
his very bright start to the season. In addition to his current form, he has a accurate game suited to the course and
has demonstrated a liking for the course with previous finishes of 2nd and 19th. Howell is long off the tee but not
necessarily all that accurate and in his five previous starts here he has missed the cut on three occassions and has
a best finish of 34th. The h2h record highlights the streaky nature of both players and in this case I would rather be
with the in form O'Hair. Stake 2pts Shigeki Maruyama to beat Scott Verplank +116 @ Pinnacle
I've been a big supporter of Verplank's for a number of years now but there comes a day when a parting of the
ways is inevitable and today could be it. He still possesses the same great accuracy off the tee but his long iron
game just seems to have deserted him, and when you are as short off the tee as he is you need that game to hit
the required greens in regulation. And although he has a great record here I just can't see how that can continue
given that he has only managed to hit three sub 70 rounds in his last twenty. Maruyama may have had a poor start
to the season but his last start at least showed some promise of an improvement and he has a formidable record
here with four top-10 finishes in his last five appearances here. And with those credentials and Verplanks apparent
deterioration in form I can't see how anyone would want to side with Verplank at such a long odds on price. Stake 3pts Brett Wetterich to beat Mike Weir -111 @ Expekt
With a h2h record of 10-2 in Weir's favour over the last 12 months it might seem strange to opoose him but that
record is primarily down to a Weir's consistency and Wetterich's inconsistency over the last year. But on this
occassion we have a course which is made for Wetterich's game and where Weir has struggled repeatedly in the
past. Although Wetterich shows no signs of consistency his game is in a decent shape with two recent top-10
finishes, he is very long off the tee, has strong GIR stats and has excellent form previous form here including a
victory last season. Weir consistenyl makes the cut these days but shows little sign of troubling the leaders, is short
off the tee, has quite poor GIR stats and from his six previous starts here he has missed the cut on four occassions.
|
|
