FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -4.00pts

O'Hair 25th
Kim 51st
Leaney 29th
Appleby mc

Maybe I should concentrate on 1st round leader markets, they should be a lot less frustrating than continually watching your selections throw away great opportunities over the weekend!

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Sean O'Hair to win 28/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Bet365 and ToteSport
Can see little reason not to stick with O'Hair and Kim for another week. Both gave themselves good chances for a top-5 finish in Louisiana, which, for O'Hair, was his fourth consecutive top-15 finish, but it was in this event that O'Hair (and the relationship with his father) really came to prominence two years ago. On that occasion, he held the lead heading into the final round and shot 68, but lost out to Ted Purdy by one stroke. He would win the John Deere Classic two months later and he is certainly playing well enough to be in contention yet again around this course. I didn't expect to get higher odds this week than last.

Anthony Kim to win 40/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes, Bet365, BetDirect and ToteSport
After his charge up the leaderboard on Sunday, I didn't expect to see 40/1 on the Tour's youngest player for a second week. The penalty of being so young is that he has rarely played the Tour courses beforehand, but he is the 8th best player in (actual) scoring average on the Tour and for evidence of his ability, look no further than his #1 rank in the Tour's 'All-Around Ranking' category. He has played in Texas twice on the PGA Tour and finished 2nd in the Texas Open and 5th in the Houston Open, so there is no reason why he can't continue that form on his latest visit to Texas.

Stuart Appleby to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet [6 places]
I am even more surprised by this price. Appleby has long been one of the Tour's leading player with eight victories, of which two have been in Texas, and in the last month he was a near wire-to-wire winner in the Houston Open before finishing 2nd and then led the Masters heading into the final round. A pretty impressive last two events, so his course form must be really awful to warrant such inflated odds. On the surface, it does appear so, but he has not played in this event too many times and, most notably, he was the leader after the first round last year after opening with a 63. I don't see why he can't do the same again this week.

Stephen Leaney to win 80/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and BetDirect
By contrast, Leaney disappointed last year. After all, he had played in this event twice previously and had shot all eight rounds in the 60s. It was not until the final round that he would shoot over 70, but he has shown enough form recently to suggest that he should start another run of 60s in this event. He led the PODS Championship in March at the cut before finishing 8th and held the lead very late in the final round of the Verizon Heritage before eventually finishing 3rd. With that form he warrants attention at this price.