0-4-0 -17.55 Pts
Bet 1 - R1 Sell Daisuke Maruyama over Kevin Na 18H MB at -1.5 with Sporting Index BetHiLo for 0.3 Pts
M/U 0, Loss 0.45 Pts.
H2H's show a 13-6 event and 30-17-3 "all rounds" lead for Na and it's possibly the recent three top 40's in a row for the Japanese player against a poorer recent set of results for Na that dictates this "choice" price. Arguably, though, Na should be clear favourite.
Bet 2 - Buy Jason Gore FP at 21 with IG Sport for 0.6 Pts
M/U 8, Loss 7.8 Pts
21 seems low for Gore given that he hasn't done a great deal this year and is playing in a tournament where level par so far has you outside the top 100. There are just too many holes left in this event to suggest anyone should be as low as 21, let alone someone of Gore's usual scoring record. His average score over the last year puts his 43rd in this field and 53rd in Finishing positions.
Bet 3 - R3 Sell Shigeki Maruyama over Michael Allen 18H MB at
3 with Sporting Index BetHiLo for 0.3 Pts
M/U 25, Loss 6.6 Pts
Quite a large handicap that Maruyama has to give up here considering
Allen leads him 23-20 in rounds and 11-9 in overall events over a 12 month
period. We don't have a "contention" issue here either where Sporting may
have felt that the favourite would cope better as both are well down the
field.
Bet 4 - R4 Sell D.J. Trahan over George McNeill 18H MB at 4 with
Spreadex for 0.3 Pts M/U 13, Loss 2.7 Pts
On any normal scenario these two would be hard to split and the price would
likely be 1.5 choice. This isn't a normal scenario though as McNeill has a 5
shot lead. The price is such because McNeill has never been in this
situation before and could either blow up or could try and win it by playing
safely and enticing his challengers to have to shoot mid 60s to beat him.
However, I do think that these two scenario's have been built into the price
just a little too much. All of this is based on an assumption as well that
Trahan will contend but there is no guarantee of this and a realistic price
would be a couple of points less.
STATS: Tour Event In-Running
