FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts

Harrington 13th
Toms 20th
Slocum mc

Had a decent chance of at least one place payout throughout the week, but both players found water off the tee at the 7th hole in the final round and that ended both their chances. It was particularly damaging for Harrington who dropped five shots in three holes at the time and would finish those same five shots out of the playoff.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Padraig Harrington to win 16/1 e.w. @ BetInternet [6 places]
It's difficult to find angles to back/oppose players when they compete for the first time on a new course (this is the case this week, apart from the 1987 PGA Championship), so here's one: they have all won on Jack Nicklaus-designed courses (there are four used regularly on the PGA Tour; two on the European Tour). In Pod's case, it was the 2004 German Masters around Gut Larchenhof where he has two other top-3 finishes as well. That course doesn't share the amount of water around the Nicklaus-redesigned Champions Course at PGA National Resort, but Jack always places a great emphasis on strategy around his courses and the importance of the 'second shot' over any other. Add in Harrington's recent good form, his victory in this event two years ago and his early exit from the draining matchplay event last week, and 16/1 looks a fair price even without the addition of an extra position on the place terms.

David Toms to win 18/1 e.w. @ BetInternet [6 places]
For Toms, his Nicklaus-course victory was the 1999 Sprint International around Castle Pines, but he can count good finishes around other Nicklaus courses on the PGA Tour: he has finishes of 2nd and 7th in the two visits he made to Montreux and he finished 8th at Muirfield Village last time out. And, like Harrington, he can combine some good recent form with a pre-weekend exit last week and a very impressive record in Florida: he has finished in the top-6 in five out of his last eight Tour starts in this State, including the last two Honda Classics. This course will also suit him far more than Mirasol.

Heath Slocum to win 66/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Boyle Sports [6 places]
Slocum has been quietly very impressive this season, so much so that he is ranks 3rd in Scoring Average (Actual) on the Tour! He finished 20th in the Sony Open, 4th in the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic, 6th in the FBR Open and was 15th after the opening round of the Nissan Open until a 74 in the difficult morning conditions on the Friday (there was one-and-a-half shot difference between the morning and afternoon groups over those first two days) saw him finish the round outside the top-20 for the first time in 2007 (after 14 consecutive rounds). He only made the cut on the mark as a result so that event can largely be dismissed. And, while his form in Florida doesn't match that of the other selections, he can count a win on a Nicklaus-designed course: the 2005 Southern Farm Bureau Classic. He is a player who thrives on these types of 'strategy over power' courses and has shown enough form recently to suggest that he should certainly contend this week. There is 80/1 on offer, but the extra sixth place might prove helpful.