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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

   

The Masters

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Final Result

 
Donald beat Allenby (mc)
Stricker (mc) beaten by Appleby
Choi beaten by Toms by 6
Singh beat Els (mc)
Johnson beat Glover by 9
Goosen beat Stenson by 6
Ogilvy beat Howell by 2
  
Bets: 7     Wins: 5     Losses: 2     Profit/Loss = + 11.65 pts
 
 
Matchup bets:
 
Stake 3pts    Luke Donald to beat Robert Allenby                              -105 @ The Greek
Allenby has a slightly disappointing record here with 3 missed cuts and an average FP of 41. Donald has the
better h2h record and if he performs to his capable stadards he should take this. In his two previous starts he
finished 42nd last year and 5th on his debut. Some say that this course is too long for his game but last year
both Olazabal and Clark finished in the top five and if the course stays dry it well help Donald considerably.
 
Stake 2pts    Steve Stricker to beat Stuart Appleby                            +133 @ WSEX
Appleby has had a very poor season to date and having missed the cut in 50% of his starts here so I am happy
to oppose him this week despite his second place finish last week. Stricker is still showing amazing consistency
after rediscovering his form last season. He hasn't played at Augusta since 2002 but in his five h2h's here he
holds a decent lead over Appleby by 4-1 and doesn't deserve to be this price with the continuing question marks
over Appleby's recent and course form.
 
Stake 3pts    K.J. Choi to beat David Toms                                         -111 @ Expekt
We took this price last week and given Toms's poor record here there is no reason to swerve it this week.
Choi now holds a 10-5 h2h record over Toms over the past 12 months and although he missed the cut last
time at Augusta he previously recorded two top 20 finishes here. Toms's record in majors is poor for a player
of his ability and he has missed the cut in his past three starts here. With Choi in such good form he has the
ability to take this again this week.
 
Stake 3pts    Vijay Singh to beat Ernie Els                                          +100 @ The Greek
A play based on price alone as we are dealing with two players with excellent recent form and superb course
form. But I make Singh the favourite here given that his recent form is slightly better, he seems to have 
 rediscovered his putting stroke and I still have question marks regarding Els's ability to do the business over
four days, after his return from injury, in a top quality field such as this.
***** +100 also available at Ladbrokes and Intertops with Tie as Loser *****
 
Stake 3pts    Zach Johnson to beat Lucas Glover                               -111 @ Centrebet
Glover is very much a streak player and is a quality opponent when in form. But his form has dipped
this season and in his one previous start here he missed the cut. Johnson performed with credit here last
season, has a good accurate game, his putting is on fire at the moment and he looks to be returning to
form nicely. He also has a win and second place finish from this region to provide him with some inspiration.
 
Stake 4pts    Retief Goosen to beat Henrik Stenson                          -103 @ Pinnacle
Stenson has improved significantly this season and these odds would probabaly be justified in any normal
event. But in an event which puts so much emphasis on course experience, with Stenson's only start resulting
in a missed cut and Goosen having recent finshes here of 2-13-13-3-3 there is no doubt that Goosen should
be a strong favourite.
 
Stake 5pts    Geoff Ogilvy to beat Charles Howell III                        -110 @ BlueSq
A 9-4 h2h lead over the last 12 months shows that Ogilvy is a class above Howell. So the only justification
for this price should be down to course experience. But with Howell having a rather uninspiring record here
of 29-28-13-mc-mc and Ogilvy on his debut last year finishing an encouraging 16th this should make Ogilvy
a strong favourite against Howell.