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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

 
 
PGA Championship
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Final Result

 
Johnson beat Cabrera by 1
Clark (mc) beaten by Verplank
Els beaten by Woods by 3
Stricker beat Stenson (mc)
Leonard (mc) beaten by Montgomerie
  
Bets: 5     Wins: 2     Losses: 3     Profit/Loss = - 3.19 pts
 
Matchup bets:
 
Stake 3pts    Zach Johnson to beat Angel Cabrera                               -115 @ Carib
Johnson is expected to put in another solid showing this week. His game is based on accuracy and should be
suited to this course and his form is also holding together very well. Cabrera's game is more focussed on length
and his form has slightly dipped since his US Open victory. In h2h's this season Johnson holds a commanding
lead of 6-1-1, Cabrera's US Open victory being the only time he has succeeded against Johnson.
 
Stake 3pts    Tim Clark to beat Scott Verplank                                    -115 @ Carib
Clark is a strong fancy of mine to perform well this week so he was always going to be involved in some matchup.
A lotof the value in the other available matchups has gone but there's enough value here for a play. Both players
have the game for this course although preference is for Clark's accurate iron play and both players are in fine form.
In previous h2h's it is close but most of Verplank's victories have come through a poor showing from Clark. Some
people might see Verplank's local knowledge of the course as an advantage but invariably this increases pressure
on the player so again preference must go to Clark.
 
Stake 2pts    Ernie Els to beat Tiger Woods                                         +340 @ Pinnacle
It's one of those tournaments where there is probably enough doubts surrounding Woods to try and find a value
play against him. He doesn't have a great record on this course and with the proliference of dog-legs on the course
there is going to be more reliance on iron play than driving. And this is could be of great value to Els whose accuracy
of the tee still leaves a lot to be desired of late. Yet despite that he regularly finds himself highly ranked in GIR stats
(6 top tens in his last eight starts). So at this very big price Els demands respect. 
 
Stake 4pts    Steve Stricker to beat Henrik Stenson                            -125 @ Pinnacle
Stricker remains in great form being in the final groups in both the US Open and The Open Championship with a
second at the AT&T National in between. He also has course form here being 3rd in the 1996 Tour Championship.
Meanwhile Stenson has shown precious little since returning to the game after the birth of his daughter and his game
is not showing the necessary accuracy to confidently expect a decent showing this week.
 
 
Further Matchup bets:
 
Stake 4pts    Justin Leonard to beat Colin Montgomerie                    -113 @ Pinnacle
Since his victory in Ireland Montgomerie's form has disappeared again and coupled with a quite horrible record in
this event the signs aren't good for Monty. Leonard is beginning to show a bit of consistency of late and put in a
good performance to finish 9th in a competitive field last week. He also has a 6th place finish here in 1996's Tour
Championship.