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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

   

PODS Championship

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Final Result

 
DiMarco beat Campbell (mc)
Choi beat Garcia by 11
Herron beat Marino (mc)
  
Bets: 3     Wins: 1     Losses: 2     Profit/Loss = -1.72 pts
 
Matchup bets:
 
Stake 4pts    Chris DiMarco to beat Chad Campbell                  +107 @ Pinnacle
Apart from finishing fourth in the World Matchplay last time out Campbell has shown precious little and I wasn't
even that impressed with him in the Matchplay. His accuracy stats this season have deteriorated and although he
has two good finishes here in the past he also has two very poor finishes. DiMarco is still in consistent and
decent form and has a decent finish here in the past. Although the h2h's are slightly in DiMarco's favour these are
also slightly misleading due to DiMarco's poor form to the first half of last season. In fact in their last nine strokeplay
h2h's DiMarco has won an impressive eight of them. I slightly favour DiMarco here so have to take this price.
 
Stake 4pts    Sergio Garcia to beat K.J. Choi                               -110 @ Stan James
Not happy at having to accept the tie as a losing bet but these odds are far too generous. Garcia is in excellent
form with only two finishes outside the top twenty in the last 6 months. His game should be ideally suited to this
course and his Florida form is impressive although his round 4 form is very poor. Choi is in decent form and has
won this event twice previously but he also has two missed cuts here and a withdrawl after an opening 79. In the
last two years the h2h record between them is 16-7 but in tournaments that Garcia made the cut the h2h record
reads 16-1 in Garcia's favour and in that one Choi won the tournament. The only worrying aspect is that there
have been five ties between them, three in the last four events. But the odds undoubtedly justify the risk here.
Note: You can currently get -110 on Garcia at Pinnacle
 
Stake 2pts    Stephen Marino to beat Tim Herron                       -105 @ The Greek, Centrebet
Marino has done well this season on the tour with one missed cut from six starts and three top 20 finishes. He has
a good iron game, decent Florida form and a 3-1 lead on h2h's this season. In his last 10 starts Herron has missed 
the cut 50% of the time, in his six starts here he has missed the cut 50% of the time and in the last three seasons 
he has missed 50% of his cuts in Florida. Hardly a strong favourite and easily opposable.