0-4; -4.00pts

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Adam Scott to win 33/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler, BetFred and BetDirect  6th
There may have been substantial renovations to the course last year and a change of month for this event, but course experience is always very important around Pete Dye designs so that points to Scott being decent value at this price. He won in 2004, finished 17th in 2003 and 8th in 2005 and while it may look like a poor performance last year, he had been 2nd at the cut - he completely lost his game over the first eleven holes of the third round to be eleven-over-par for the round. Barring such a spectacular collapse, his form at Sawgrass is largely unsurpassed and with a victory on this Tour only a month ago, he should put himself in contention for another win this week.

Padraig Harrington to win 40/1 e.w. available generally  52nd
Winds gusting up to 25mph and temperatures in the low 50s should be perfect conditions for Pod, but these were the conditions in the final round of 2003 when he had been leading the event after each of the first three rounds. By that marker, a final round 72 was impressive, but he could nothing to fend off Davis Love who shot 64 in such difficult conditions. So he should have won in 2003, but it is notable that he also finished 2nd the following year to Adam Scott. And given that he was the first round leader last week and had finished 7th in the Masters in his previous outing, he is another who should be in the mix at the weekend.

Anthony Kim to win 100/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and Coral  mc
Yes, this is the Players Championship which some call the 'fifth major', but three of the last five winners have been Craig Perks, Fred Funk and Stephen Ames. If they can win at Sawgrass, then so can Kim. As with virtually every week on Tour, he has no previous course form, but it hasn't stopped him recording three top-5 finishes in his last five Tour events. He ranks in the top-5 in (Actual) Scoring Average and All-Around Ranking on Tour and is the best young American prospect around. I'll continue to back him at this price in non-Majors.

Camilo Villegas to win 150/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Coral  mc
Not the most consistent of players, but certainly one who is capable of challenging for this title ... just as he did last year when finishing 3rd. And he has made a habit of finishing in the top-3 in Florida where he receives such strong local support: his 2nd place finish in the Honda Classic in March (he lost in a four-man playoff) was his third since last year. He may not have recorded a top-10 finish since that event, but in his last two starts he has finished 29th around a Harbour Town course that does not really suit his game and was in the top-10 after the opening round last week. He may very well shoot a couple of rounds in the 80s as he did in the Masters, but if he does get his game on track, he could make these odds look extremely large.