0-4; -4.00pts Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Anthony Kim to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
44th
He may not have been as impressive recently as during the first half of the
year, but in the year since he made his PGA Tour debut in this event he has
finished in the top-10 ten times out of 25 attempts, progressed to the
penultimate week of the Playoffs and in one year has earned more Tour prize
money than Arnold Palmer earned in his whole career. So returning to the scene
of 2nd place finish last year and to a State in which he has had a further top-5
finish this year, he should be able to turn in a much improved performance this
week. Charley Hoffman to win 33/1 e.w. @
Sunderlands [6 places]
11th
By contrast, Hoffman's form has been much improved in recent weeks: in the last
two weeks, for example, he has been 5th at the cut both times. He did falter on
Sunday, so couldn't secure a second successive top-5 finish, but he is clearly
approaching the form that earned him victory in the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic at
the start of the year. With a top-10 finish on his course debut last year and
having already registered a win in Texas on the Nationwide Tour (2005 Permian
Basin Classic), he should provide value at these odds. Bart
Bryant to win 40/1 e.w. @
BetInternet,
Stan James
and
Victor
Chandler
33rd
Backing the course record holder (60 in 2004) with the weather conditions
expected to produce another week of low scoring around this course. It is not
simply that he has gone low on this course - eleven of his twelve rounds at
LaCantera have been under-par - but that he has been showing good form recently
without earning high finishes: in his last two events he has been 8th and 7th
with one round to play. On this course, he should be more likely to carry that
form into the final round. Dean Wilson to win 40/1 e.w. @
William Hill
and
Boyle Sports
6th
Wilson is another with a very impressive record around LaCantera: he held the
36-hole lead in both 2004 and 2005, finishing 3rd and 7th respectively, and last
year he finished 2nd. On none of those occasions did he have any form heading
into the event and it may be said that he is in slightly better form this year,
so I'll back him as a course specialist who, now that he has won on this Tour,
may be more likely to hold onto a 36-hole lead this time around. |