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Summary: 4 Bets, 3 Wins, 1 Loss. Profit 11.16 Pts

Bet 1 - Sell David Toms over Steve Stricker 72H MB at 1.85 with Sporting Index for 0.6 Pts. M/U -6, Profit 4.71 Pts
Toms is the tournament favourite as he is the most well known player on show, is a local lad which always seems to influence bookmakers and he has a 2007 record of no missed cuts. However, his 12 month record in H2H's over Stricker is 5 wins to 9 losses, his 1 year scoring average is 0.2 strokes behind Stricker. In the one year that this course was used, 2005, both players missed the cut which puts a spoke in the idea about local form. In fact, Toms' record in this state is poor, missing 4 cuts in 10 starts and averaging 47th place, Stricker averages 33rd place and from 8 starts has 6 Top 30's.

R2

Bet 2 - Buy Kenny Perry over Tim Petrovic 18H MB at 1.5 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts M/U -13, Loss 4.35 Pts
Betting after R1 means you have to make allowances for the scores in previous rounds as well as everything you know about the players involved. With this matchup yesterday producing a 3 stroke win for the defending "course" champion it is easy to just assume that Petrovic is a far better player here than anywhere else. That may be the case but what is not open to question is Perry is a better player than Petrovic by some way and is therefore surely value at this price.

Bet 3 - Sell Brandt Snedeker over Ryuji Imada 18H MB at -1.5 with Sporting Index for 0.6 Pts. M/U -25, Profit 7.05 Pts
Here we have a matchup where the immediate form is a 5 stroke win to Imada so with a price of "choice" a day later you would assume that Snedeker is a far better player generally, but is he? In H2H's the scores are 5-4 Snedeker in events and Imada leads 6-3 in R2 scoring only. Imada, given Snedeker's probable exit tonight which should affect his effort, should be clear favourite. 

Bet 4 - Buy Charles Warren over Richard S. Johnson 18H MB at 1.5 with IG Sport for 0.3 Pts M/U 13, Profit 3.75 Pts
Warren leads 16-6 in tournament matchups over the year but they are quoted as a "choice" price at 1.5 due to R1 scores of 73 and 69. I would side with Warren in the hope that their attitudes today could be one of survival for Warren and consolidation for Johnson. It's a risky scenario, especially Warren's, but at the price their is value getting with the better long term player.