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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Matchups

 
 
AT&T National
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4-0; +8.06pts 

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Steve Stricker to beat Trevor Immelman -120 @ Five Dimes and Bet365  [aso available @ Carib]  WON by 2
Stricker in much better form finishing ahead of Immelman in 10 of their last 12 common events and with a record of finishing 2nd last year, he should be a heavier favourite against Immelman who missed the cut by nine shots in his only previous visit

Bill Haas to beat Charles Howell -105 @ Five Dimes  TIED
Howell hasn't even come close to making the cut in his two previous visits to Congressional, missing the cut by six shots both times. As well as Haas finishing in the top-30 on his course debut last year, it also helps to make Howell a false favourite that he had three missed cuts last month, whereas Haas had three top-30 finishes

 

No round 2 plays - scattered thunderstorms are predicted for this afternoon so too much of a lottery. Without that possible disruption, Herron to beat Marino +100 @ Five Dimes would have been the top play.

 

Round 3 plays (2pts):

Fredrik Jacobson to beat Fred Couples +100 @ Five Dimes  WON by 1
Easy to oppose Couples who ranks 185th in 3rd round scoring on the PGA Tour - Jacobson is over 120 places higher - and should not be helped by playing in wet conditions today

Bo Van Pelt to beat John Rollins +103 @ Five Dimes  WON by 5
Van Pelt showed a return to form last week entering the weekend with a two-shot lead in the Buick Open. He failed to earn his maiden Tour win on that occasion and he should play better this weekend given his current leaderboard position as he is only 5 shots off 3rd place. As for Rollins, his 3rd round scoring average is poor, so there is value in these odds

 

Round 4 plays (2pts):

Tommy Armour to beat Tom Pernice -119 @ Pinnacle  [also available @ Five Dimes, Carib and WSEX]  WON by 3
Tommy Armour to beat Nick O'Hern -110 @ Bet365  TIED
Backing the in-form Armour to challenge for the title today. He has finishes of 2nd and 10th in two of his last three starts and has played better than both of his opponents from tee-to-greens so far this week - he ranks 8th in greens in regulation; Pernice 13th and O'Hern 49th. And then there is the last time that these players were in this position - Armour was 3rd after three rounds of the Travelers Championship just 2 weeks ago and shot 65 in the final round to finish 2nd; O'Hern was 4th after three rounds of the FBR Open in February and shot 72 to finish 13th; Pernice last held the final round lead in last year's Buick Open and shot 75 in the final round to finish 20th. In short, Pernice has held the lead four times heading into the final round on the PGA and Nationwide Tours and he has never won