5-3; +3.50pts 

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Jim Furyk to beat Justin Leonard -117 @ Pinnacle  WON by 3
Unlike Leonard who has only played here once since 2001, Furyk is a regular and with good reason: he has finished in the top-10 i each of the last seven years. Both are in similar current form, but that is a large edge in terms of course form

Scott Verplank to beat Heath Slocum -105 @ Five Dimes and Carib  WON by 4
Three missed cuts in the last four years compared to three top-10 finishes over the same period is a similarly decisive edge in this matchup

Brian Gay to beat Dean Wilson -113 @ Pinnacle  [also available @ WSEX]  TIED
Primarily opposing Wilson whose three previous visits have resulted in two missed cuts and a 75th place position

Craig Kanada to beat Jonathan Wagner +105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 3
Will take these odds on Kanada who finished 37 places above Wagner when they both made their course debuts last year and in their 20 common events over the past year, Wagner has shot the lower 1st round score only six times

Brett Quigley to beat Brian Gay -110 @ Five Dimes  VOID (Quigley dns)
Backed Gay to beat Wilson, but he shouldn't be strong enough to also beat Quigley who has held the lead at the cut in each of the last two years here

Marco Dawson to beat Kevin Stadler -105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 2
With Dawson never finishing behind Stadler in this event and having finished ahead of him in four of their last five common events, there sould be some value in these odds

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Bob Estes to beat Kevin Streelman -125 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 3
Streelman struggled to hit the fairways and greens in the better conditions yesterday morning, so I can't see him being any better this afternoon when trying to finish ahead of Estes for just the second time in their last ten common events

Nick Watney to beat Woody Austin +105 @ Pinnacle  [also available @ Unibet and WSEX]  WON by 1
Will take these odds on the much more in-form player - Watney has a 7-2-1 h2h record against Austin in the 2nd round this year. Austin may have impressive course form, but Watney held the lead early in 2005 and was in the fringes of contention last year until a final round 74

John Rollins to beat Charles Howell -110 @ WSEX  [also available @ Pinnacle]  WON by 2
In the last 12 months, these players have played in 21 common events and Howell has shot the lower 2nd round score just three times. With a missed cut in his only appearance on this course in the last 4 years - whereas Rollins was 5th last year - I can't see Howell being any better today and getting underneath the cut line

Round 3 play (2pts):

Lucas Glover to beat Nick Watney -107 @ Pinnacle  [also available @ Carib and WSEX]  WON by 7
Opposing Watney whose record when in the top-10 at the cut is not good: he has broken 70 just twice in 14 previous occasions on the PGA Tour and in five of the last six occasions, he has failed to finish the event in the top-20. With the wet weather also predicted to arrive, this should not help Watney who has a worse record in these conditions

Round 4 play (2pts):

Ken Duke to beat Lucas Glover -120 @ Bet365  TIED
Duke has entered the final round in the top-ten 46 times on Tour and has finished the day outside the top-10 just six times and averaging less than 70 shots in the 4th round in this situation. He may have struggled in the last round of the Byron Nelson Championship in April when last in this situation, but that was very much the exception. The same cannot be said for Glover when in contention and with the rain again forecast for today, Duke is another who has proven himself to be a very good wet player: over the last five seasons, his (adjusted) scoring average when playing in rain is over a full shot lower than his scoring average across all weather conditions