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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds:Spreads

 
 
Byron Nelson Championship
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Buy Sean O'Hair FP at 40 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts. M/U 70, Profit 15 Pts
O'Hair is a popular choice for backers this week given that he has three consecutive top 25's here, has a win and 3rd in his last five starts and qualified for next year at Augusta as he finished inside the top 16 there a fortnight ago. He did though miss last week's cut and by some way, shooting 76/75 and maybe the price being offered just doesn't quite place the allowance for last week as much as his event form, on a course which not only has ditched the back up course used for one round of the four each year, but also has had the main course modified by enough to make previous form here questionable.

Sell Johnson Wagner over John Rollins 18H R1 MB at -1.5 with
Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 25, Loss 6.62 Pts
Wagner is a recent winner in this state so that has to be respected but his form leading up to that included 7 missed cuts in his first 9 events. His H2H with Rollins shows a 9-5-2 tournament deficit and a 10-5-1 deficit on R1 scoring only.

Sell Kevin Na over Jason Bohn 18H R1 MB at 0 with
Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 25, Loss 6.25 Pts
6th last week with Na 4 shots behind, Bohn leads Na generally over 12 months by 6-4 in R1 matchups and has a finishing position average 7 places less. Bohn should arguably be favourite by 0-3 and is in fact more than that at another firm.

R2

Buy Johnson Wagner FP at 37 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 28.5, Loss 4.25 Pts
As stated above, Wagner has missed 7 of 9 cuts this year so the win he produced in Houston has been a standout in what has been a pretty poor year. Since Houston he has played once, at Augusta, where he finished 36th. With 5 shots covering 100 players on a difficult course, 37 seems a touch too low.

4 Bets, 1 Win, 3 Losses. P&L = -2.12 Pts