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Sell Camilo Villegas over George McNeill 18H R1 MB at 5 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 19, Loss 3.5 pts Speculative play on McNeill at what seems a couple of points too high. Immediate current form shows McNeill make last weekend, finishing 31st, whilst Villegas missed out with two 72's. The price may be based on Villegas' top 10 placing last year on this course but McNeill only finished 2 shots behind him in 17th place and I would rather be getting 5, on what is a closer match than the price suggests, than paying 5.
Sell Martin Laird over Steve Lowery 18H R1 MB at 2 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 25, Loss 5.75 Pts Recent form shows Laird playing like a tour veteran but it has taken these three latest good performances to get him guaranteed golf next year on this tour and the fact he has now accomplished this, coupled with the fact that few players can play well above themselves for 4 events in a row, means he may be worth opposing at an arguably false price. H2Hs sees Lowery lead 6-1-1 in R1 matches and have a scoring average half a stroke better long term although of course Laird is the player in form of the two.
Sell Andres Romero over Chad Campbell 18H R1 MB at 0 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U -13, Profit 3.25 Pts Romero has a win on this tour and a couple of impressive performances in big events this year but generally he has been fairly poor. His H2Hs show a 7-3 deficit to Campbell having won the last two so current form is with him but there are enough question marks on his scoring this year, over 71 stroke average, to suggest a play on Campbell off of levels.
Sell Ernie Els over Jeff Quinney 18H R1 MB at 7 with Spreadex for 0.25 Pts M/U 28, Loss 5.25 Pts Both players missed the cut in last week's Play Offs opener so that brings H2H scoring to 5-3-1 for the year in favour of Els with "R1 only" scoring sitting at 5-4 to Quinney, not results that would bring about a price of 7-10 Els over. That isn't to say that Els shouldn't be clear favourite as stats can only tell you so much but 7-10 seems a little high even if Quinney is in quite a poor run of form.
