5-4; +0.68pts 

Round 1 plays (1pt)

Camilo Villegas to beat Chad Campbell -135 @ Five Dimes  WON by 7
Better course form - 2nd two years ago vs mc/70th/mc - and was on his season debut 13th last week

Daniel Chopra to beat Trevor Immelman -125 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 1
Already a winner this season against a player who is returning to the Tour for the first time since having surgery to remove a tumour on his diaphragm six weeks ago. Very surprised to even see Immelman in a matchup this week

Frank Lickliter to beat Woody Austin -110 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 1
Better course form and has been playing great since the Tour Q-School; the only concern would be fatigue after withdrewing from the Sony Open to be with his newly-born twins and then returning next week to the Tour and this will now be his third event after the birth ... clearly he doesn't want to stop playing while in this purple patch of form

No round 2 plays.

No round 3 plays.

Round 4 plays (1pt)

J.B. Holmes to beat Charles Warren -105 @ Pinnacle  LOST by 1
J.B. Holmes to beat Jonathan Byrd +108 @ Five Dimes  WON by 2
Backing Holmes to carry on where he left off yesterday; it was a very impressive effort after bogeying the first hole when joint leader and falling off the pace. He led this event by one shot heading into the final round and shot 66 to win by seven - that experience should hold him in good stead today. Warren has been 2nd with one round to play just once on the PGA Tour - 2007 Turning Stone Resort Championship - and shot 74 to finish 10th. Byrd has been in a similar position once this year already - Mercedes-Benz Championship - and shot 74 to fall to 15th place

J.J. Henry to beat John Mallinger -124 @ Five Dimes  WON by 3
When at least 10 shots off the pace, Mallinger averages 74.27 in the final round, Henry 70.57 over the last five season

Bill Haas to beat Rich Beem -111 @ Unibet  WON by 3
Over 0.7 shots difference in 4th round scoring average over the last 12 months between these players and that is exacerbated when in contention

Nick O'Hern to beat Daniel Chopra +105 @ Carib  WON by 5
O'Hern is not noted for his final round 'bottle', but largely is in relation to not converting winning chances, not completely losing his game. For example, he has entered the final round inside the top-5 twice on the PGA Tour and shot 67-66 to finish 2nd-3rd. He has entered the final round inside the top-five 25 times across all Tours and has yet to finish outside the top-10. Plus odds means value against this background

Robert Allenby to beat Stuart Appleby -105 @ Pinnacle  LOST by 5
One stat is enough to warrant this play - 4th round scoring average over the past 12 months - Allenby ranks 19th; Appleby 159th