Stake 3pts Allenby to beat Villegas -111 @ Expekt Allenby is such a streaky player that it's hard not to support him when he is in this fine form. There is not much separating these two on ability and both had excellent finishes here last season. But ultimately it's current form that splits them here. This season has been a disappointment for Villegas. He opened the season well at the Buick but his form has steadily declined since and given Allenby's form he should be -120 favourite in this match up this week. Allenby beat Villegas by 5
Stake 3pts Wi to beat Na -110 @ The Greek A decent showing is expected of Wi this week. He has good, consistent current form, he has a good all-round accurate game and performed well here last year. Na's current form can't match that of Wi's, he missed the cut here last season and has a pretty lousy Florida record missing six of the last seven cuts here. Wi beat Na (mc)
Stake 3pts Weekley to beat Leonard +116 @ Expekt I believe this price is a definite over-reaction to the current form of Leonard. His fine recent form is being carried along by exceptional driving and putting stats and if this continues he will go close again this week. But Weekley's current form is just as impressive, he is accurate off the tee and finished second here last season, Leonard missed the cut. Leonard's from in Florida has had it's ups and downs but Weekley's record with three top 20 finishes from seven starts is encouraging. He certainly shouldn't be at this price, I would have him at around +100. Weekley beaten by Leonard by 9
Further Plays
Stake 3pts Wi to beat Flesch -110 @ Boyle Sports Flesch's current form is inconsistent at best, he missed the cut here last year and hasn't managed a top 50 finish in Florida in his last fifteen starts. He put in a decent finish last time in a weaker field in the Northern Trust Open but he will have to rely on a poor performance form Wi to win this matchup. Wi beat Flesch (mc)
Stake 2pts M Wilson to beat Immelman -110 @ Five Dimes Wilson's game has improved significantly since his victory here last year. He showing excellent consistency, has good accurate game and a fantastic Florida record with only one missed cut in his last ten starts. Immelman's form over the past few seasons has been disappointing due to a number reasons including injury. His recent form shows promise but is still littered with inconsistency. But it's that record in Florida whic has always worried me with Immelman. It has slightly improved of late but only two top 20 finishes from fifteen starts and missing the cut on over 50% of his starts here is a worry. I would have Wilson as clear favourite, the only slight worry being the added pressure of Wilson defending his title. Wilson tied with Immelman
Stake 2pts Lickliter to beat Matteson -110 @ Five Dimes Lickliter's recent form is decent enough despite missing the cut last time out, he finished 13th here last season and his record in the state is very decent for a player of his level (9 consecutive cuts made, five of those finishes being in the top 20). Matteson shows glimpses of form but is still plagued with inconsistency. He has no course experience and his record in the state again shows glimpses of form but inconsistent. Lickliter has the current game and local experience to be a -125 favourite. Lickliter beat Matteson (mc)