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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Matchups

 
 
Houston Open
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5-10; -12.08pts 

The first three months of the season have passed, so it's time to increase the stakes to their 'normal' levels, plus branch out to other Tours.

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Stuart Appleby to beat Geoff Ogilvy -105 @ Five Dimes and Carib  LOST by 3
Tag Ridings to beat Chris Stroud -115 @ Five Dimes  WON by 3
Jeff Maggert to beat Steve Elkington -115 @ Carib  LOST by 5
Steve Stricker to beat Geoff Ogilvy -110 @ Bet365  WON by 1
Hunter Mahan to beat Robert Allenby -110 @ Five Dimes  WON by 3
Fred Couples to beat Davis Love -110 @ WSEX  [also available at Unibet and Pinnacle]  LOST by 4
Ryan Armour to beat Dean Wilson +100 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 6

Too many qualifying plays to provide reasons for ... the prices would have changed by the time I finished (as was the case with the Adamonis over Campbell match which is now scratched at -130)!

 

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Frank Lickliter to beat Jose Coceres -128 @ Five Dimes  WON by 10
Both players are well down the leaderboard (though Lickliter is two shots closer to the cut) and both respond very differently in this situation. When at least 10 shots off the lead after 18 holes, Coceres has made the cut only once in 41 attempts, averaging 73.8; Lickliter has made the cut in 12 of 47 attempts, including the last two and averages 71.5 in the 2nd round

Jason Bohn to beat Jason Day -128 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 3
Two players just outside the cut mark, but Bohn looks better-placed to score low today after ranking 27th in greens in regulation yesterday (Day was 81st) and should be far more confident than Day who has missed his last four cuts

 

Round 3 play (2pts):

Mathew Goggin to beat Johnson Wagner -119 @ Pinnacle
Wagner has held the 36-hole lead twice in his Tour career and on both occasions he has shot 75 in the 3rd round, falling to 24th after 3 rounds in the 2003 Gila River Golf Classic and falling to 24th in the 2005 Pete Dye Classic

 

Round 4 plays (2pts):

J.J. Henry to beat Dean Wilson -105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 2
Lucas Glover to beat Fred Couples -102 @ Pinnacle  [also available at Five Dimes and WSEX]  LOST by 6
Steve Elkington to beat Fred Couples -115 @ Carib  LOST by 4
Steve Elkington to beat Rod Pampling -106 @ Unibet  WON by 2
Steve Stricker to beat Geoff Ogilvy -105 @ Carib  [also available at Pinnacle, Bet365 and WSEX]  LOST by 3
Ben Crane to beat Lucas Glover -105 @ Carib [also available at Bet365]  TIED
Bob Estes to beat Charley Hoffman -109 @ Pinnacle  [available widely]  TIED
Jose Maria Olazabal to beat Joe Ogilvie -110 @ Five Dimes  TIED