7-2; +4.60pts 

Round 1 plays (1pt):

Parker McLachlin to beat Corey Pavin -115 @ Five Dimes  WON by 5
McLachlin has been very consistent this year with finishes of 10th, 29th and 14th and finished 18th on this course last year; Pavin has been consistently poor apart from the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am and is making his course debut his week

Chris Riley to beat Jon Mills -115 @ Five Dimes  WON by 1
Riley also finished in the top-20 last year whereas his opponent is making his debut, but the extra angle is the Hilton Head factor: a lot of comparisons have been drawn between this course and Hilton Head and so Riley's good performance last year was no surprise - he has missed the cut only once there and finished 3rd in 2003

Daisuke Maruyama to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -120 @ Five Dimes  WON by 1
GFC simply doesn't travel well, or at least the U.S. - in four starts in this country he has three missed cuts and in the fourth, he finished 2nd-last in a no-cut WGC event

Esteban Toledo to beat John Daly -140 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 4
Home player with motivation against a player famous for a lack of it when things go wrong. Daly ranks 207th in 1st round scoring average over the past 12 months and this is not a course that should suit

Round 2 plays (1pt):

Dean Wilson to beat Jose Coceres +135 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 1
I don't understand this line. Coceres may have finished 2nd here last year, but they both 67 yesterday, Coceres has played only one previous event since October and the difference in ability between these two is shown by their head-to-head record for the 2nd round: Wilson leads 7-0 over the last 9 months

Skip Kendall to beat Pablo Martin -120 @ Five Dimes  WON by 5
Kendall finished in the top-10 here last year, so I'm more confident that he will improve today and make the cut than Martin who has played three events this year, all on the European Tour, missed the cut every time and shot over-par in every round. In fact, the last time that he did not shoot an over-par round was back in October

Round 3 plays (1pt):

Jin Park to beat Brett Rumford -106 @ Five Dimes  WON by 9
Ranked 99th for greens in regulation this week (19/36 greens hit), it's surprising that Rumford has finally broken his run of missed cuts. He will need to play much better to compete with Park in the 3rd round

Chris Stroud to beat Patrick Sheehan -105 @ Five Dimes  WON by 1
Opposing Sheehan as he does not have a good history when in contention on this Tour: in the last three years, he has been inside the top-10 seven times after two rounds and broken 74 in the third round only once and staying in the top-10 only once

Round 4 play (1pt):

Richard S. Johnson to beat John Daly -130 @  Five Dimes  WON by 3
Opposing Daly in the 4th round where Johnson has a career 12-2-1 head-to-head record against him. Losing his full exemption status at the start of last season may have seen Daly become less reckless in the final round, but Johnson has still finished ahead of him in every 4th round over that time anyway. On a course that shouldn't suit and falling down the leaderboard after each round, Daly should be easy to oppose today