3-5; -5.08pts 

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Ernie Els to beat Luke Donald -120 @ Bet365  LOST by 5
They have played in seven events together on the PGA Tour over the last year and Donald has yet to finish ahead of Els. With former winner Big Easy also citing this as one of his favourite tournaments of the year, we should see a continuation of the form that yielded a 6th place finish in the Players Championship three weeks ago

Ryuji Imada to beat Mike Weir -120 @ Bet365  LOST by 4
Weir has averaged 74 around this course over the last three years and is worth opposing, particularly with a player coming off a win two weeks ago - his fourth top-5 finish of the year

D.J. Trahan to beat Mathew Goggin -105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 8
Last week was the first time in seven common events that Goggin had shot a lower 1st round score than Trahan. Playing at Muirfield Village for the first time and with Trahan playing well on his debut last year, this should be a return to 1st round dominance for Trahan

Round 2 play (2pts):

Sergio Garcia to beat Ernie Els -133 @ Bet365  WON by 1
It had been a good round of golf for Sergio until the last hole when he found water by the 18th green and tried unsuccessfully, the first time, to play out of it. He still ranked 3rd in greens in regulation and that is a lot better than Els who continued to struggle with his game

Round 3 play (2pts):

Pat Perez to beat J.B. Holmes -110 @ Bet365  LOST by 3
Big difference in their tee-to-green play so far this week with Perez ranking 3rd in GIR and Holmes 68th and with Perez also being a good Saturday player - he averages less than 70 in the 3rd round over the last 12 months - he shouldn't be the underdog in this match

Round 4 plays (2pts):

Luke Donald to beat Geoff Ogilvy +108 @ Pinnacle  [available widely]  WON by 1
Donald is a much more proven player in this situation. Over the last five seasons, Ogilvy has been on the edge of contention, ranked 6th-10th at the start of the 4th round, on 12 occasions but on all but one of those occasions has he fallen down the leaderboard in the final round and in all but two of those occasions he has finished outside the top-10. Donald for his part, in the same situation, has fallen down the leaderboard only 2 of 9 occasions and only once did he finish outside the top-10

Nick O'Hern to beat J.B. Holmes -102 @ Pinnacle  [available widely]  WON by 1
Ranked 66th in driving accuracy and 36th in greens in regulation this week, it is a wonder that Holmes can be in the top-10 at this stage of the week. With a game approach that sees him ranked 1st in driving distance, it is no wonder that he ranks 169th in 4th round scoring average over the last 12 months. O'Hern has been very solid from tee-to-green again this week and that approach is much more suitable to a typical Sunday course setup

Johnson Wagner to beat John Mallinger -107 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 4
Since the start of last season, Wagern has shot a lower 4th round score than Mallinger in all but one common event. With Mallinger ranked a lowly 71st in greens in regulation this week (Johnson 28th), I can't see a change this week