7-6; +0.92pts 

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Brandt Snedeker to beat Angel Cabrera +100 @ WSEX  [also available @ Pinnacle]  LOST by 1
Last week's one-shot loss to Cabrera was the first time since February (seven events) that Snedeker has failed to finish ahead of his opponent. With Cabrera missing the cut in his last three attempts at this title, a return to the previous trend should be in order this week

Woody Austin to beat Rocco Mediate -110 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 6
This is the major most-suited to Woody and it shows in his record: seven previous appearances and seven cuts made, including a 2nd place finish last year. With Rocco's form starting to wane, he should struggle to beat Woody tomorrow

Sergio Garcia to beat Padraig Harrington -105 @ Five Dimes  WON by 2
Opposed Harrington last week and will do so again ... as he admitted last week, he was a long way from where he needed to be in terms of his game following the off-course distractions of winning the Open again. And with a relatively poor record in this event - four missed cuts from nine attempts and a best finish of 17th - the value should be with Garcia in this matchup

Sean O'Hair to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez -101 @ Pinnacle  [also available @ WSEX]  WON by 4
It was an impressive performance by Jimenez last week, but his position in the Ryder Cup team should have been more certain had he not double-bogeyed the last hole. With a best finish of 31st this decade in this event, there may be good reason to expect Jimenez not to carry forward his form, so I'll back O'Hair who has a better record in this event and finsihed only a shot behind his opponent last week

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Jim Furyk to beat Anthony Kim -115 @ Carib  [also available @ Bet365]  LOST by 2
Kim will continue to shoot bogeys with his style of play on such a tough course and the conditions will be harder in the afternoon with the greens crusting and the winds strengthening; Furyk should be more suited to these conditions

Steve Stricker to beat Robert Karlsson +101 @  Pinnacle  [also available @ Bet365 and WSEX]  WON by 2
Opposing Karlsson who dropped two shots when in sole possession of the lead yesterday and even though he finished the day tied for the lead, it will still be hard to play well when probably still holding the joint lead when starting this afternoon. He has only held the first round lead once since 2003 - the 2005 Open de Madrid - and he shot 76 in the 2nd round

Round 3 plays (2pts):

David Toms to beat Ben Curtis +110 @ WSEX  [also available @ Pinnacle]  LOST by 4
Surprised to find such large odds on Toms against Curtis. Apart from simply Toms being the better player, Curtis does not do well in this situation: he has only started the 3rd round in 2nd or 3rd place three times on Tour and two of those 3rd round scores have been 74 and 81. Add in his poor 3rd round scoring average (ranked 172nd of 204 over the last 12 months) and he is worth opposing at much shorter odds than these

Justin Rose to beat Ben Curtis -130 @ Unibet  LOST by 6
Will also oppose Curtis at much shorter odds with Rose who is a good front runner ... at least until he gets to Sunday. He ranks 12th in the same 3rd round scoring average stats and when starting the 3rd round in 2nd or 3rd place, he averages less than 69 over the last eight years (11 occasions), finishing the 3rd round still in the top-5 in 10 of those 11 occasions

Ken Duke to beat Brandt Snedeker -105 @ Five Dimes  WON by 1
Duke is another who has impressed when in contention at this stage of an event: four times in the last seven weeks he has been in the top-10 after 36 holes and on each occasion he has shot 70 or better. He is clearly in the better form than Snedeker who has missed three of his last four cuts and can be backed at these odds

Round 4 play (2pts):

Steve Flesch to beat J.B. Holmes -104 @ Five Dimes  WON by 12
Very tough to be leading an event at the start of a last day when 36 holes are to be played, so with Holmes again in the final group I'll oppose him with Flesch who has the much better record when in the top-10 with one round to play

Further Round 4 play (2pts):

Camilo Villegas to beat Aaron Baddeley -110 @ Pinnacle  [also available @ WSEX]  WON by 5
The line has now dropped enough to warrant a play. Villegas has been in the top-10 with one round to play nine times over the last two years and he has yet to finish the day outside the top-10; in his last nine occasions in this position, Baddeley has finished outside the top-10 four times, so I'll back Villegas at these odds and in the softer conditions today

Further Round 4 play (2pts):

Angel Cabrera to beat Andres Romero +100 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 2
There are some large line changes with such a short period of time between rounds and this one also falls enough to warrant a play. Romero is very unlucky that yesterday's rain softened up the course when otherwise his 65 would almost certainly have seen him in the final group today. That said, it is very difficult to follow up such a low round and it has been such a long wait for him to get back onto the course that he could easily start very cold. Cabrera has already won a major and has proven himself to be a good final round player so is backable at plus odds

Further Round 4 play (2pts):

Camilo Villegas to beat Andres Romero -105 @ Unibet  WON by 4
The final one play, now that Unibet have posted some lines. This is just a combination of the previous two plays ... Villegas is very good when in contention in the final round and Romero's game could slow to start having not played at all today