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Sell Andres Romero over Alex Cejka R1 18H MB at 3 with IG Sport for 0.25 Pts (Cejka NR)
Sell Ross Fisher over Daniel Chopra R1 18H MB at 0 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U -19, Profit 4.75 Pts Sell Ross Fisher over Steve Marino R1 18H MB at 0 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U -22, Profit 5.5 Pts Fisher has no obvious reason to be favourite over these opponents on US soil. In 4 starts on this tour and on US WGC events he has missed two cuts and finished 56th and 34th in reduced field "no cut" events. Chopra was 14th last week in the WGC event and Marino was 3rd in his latest start in Canada two weeks ago. In Europe, arguably, Fisher should be 0-3, but not in the States.
Sell Michael Campbell over Paul Azinger R1 18H MB at 2 with IG Sport for 0.25 Pts M/U -13, Profit 3.75 Pts This one could be a rollercoaster of bogeys, double bogeys and possibly worse. Campbell, in the last year, has missed 20 of 26 cuts and has only beaten 30th twice, both times in September 07'. After a run of 12 missed cuts in his first 14 starts of the year he managed to get round The Open in 35th place, his latest start. This has prompted the firms (Sporting and Spreadex also 2-5) to make him favourite over the US Ryder Cup captain who has let his playing schedule fall a little as he deals with his temporary job. He has only made one cut in seven starts in 08', his first event in Hawaii at the start of the year. Taking scoring averages over a year Azinger outperforms Campbell by nearly 2 strokes per round and that is down to Campbell having some remarkably high scores. It really is quite difficult to put a price on these two but 2-5 Campbell seems wrong.
Sell Henrik Stenson over Woody Austin R1 18H MB at 4 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 34, Loss 7.5 Pts Sell Henrik Stenson over Brandt Snedeker R1 18H MB at 3 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 0, Profit 0.75 Pts Another double play to finish the R1 trades and its opposition to Stenson who has played well recently, 16th at Bridgestone, 3rd at The Open, but possibly a touch too high in both matches tomorrow. H2H's show a 7-5 Austin lead (8-2-1 R1 only) and a 9-4 Snedeker lead and Stenson falls just behind both players in scoring average also. Recent form suggests Stenson is rightfully favourite but 4 and 3 pt starts are too high.
R2
Sell Paul Casey over Boo Weekley 18H MB at 3 with Spreadex for 0.25 Pts M/U -19, Profit 5.5 Pts
Sell Peter Lonard over Jeff Quinney 18H MB at 4 with Spreadex for 0.25 Pts M/U 19, Loss 3.75 Pts
Sell Steve Lowery over Peter Hedblom 18H MB at 1 with Spreadex for 0.25 Pts M/U 19, Loss 4.5 Pts
Sell Robert Allenby over Ken Duke 18H MB at 5 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.25 Pts M/U 13, Loss 2 Pts
Casey tied yesterday with Weekley but has been made a stronger favourite today which seems strange, Lonard's price is placing too much importance of Quinney's 81 when the price yesterday was as low as 0-3. Similarly there is a touch of value in Hedblom who lost yesterday to Lowery by 2 but at one point Lowery looked like being up with the leaders and then fell back tamely. Finally, Allenby is 5-8, same as yesterday, even although Duke beat him by 7 strokes. It is one of those rare occasions where a price hasn't moved to reflect the R1 score when generally the interest is in a price that has moved too much.
