4-2; +1.52pts

Round 1 plays (1pt):

Charles Howell to beat Boo Weekley -111 @ Unibet  WON by 4
Weekly has yet to beat Howell in any first round this year and of their four common strokeplay events in 2008, Weekley has ended the tournament ahead of Howell only once, so he is hardly in the better form. With Weekley missing the cut and Howell finishing 6th last year, the value appears to be with Howell in this match

Kenny Perry to beat David Toms -120 @ Five Dimes  WON by 4
Toms had problems with his back midway through the first round of the WGC World Matchplay and, even though he won that day, he lost in the next round and shot 79-77 to miss the cut by a long way last week. With this concern, it hardly matters that Perry has the early tee-time (Toms starts in the afternoon) and a 8-3-2 1st round h2h lead over the past 12 months

John Senden to beat Trevor Immelman -120 @ Five Dimes  WON by 5
Three missed cuts from three strokeplay events and a 2nd round defeat in the WGC World Matchplay is clear evidence that he is still some way from competitiveness after his health problems. No such worries with Senden who finished 2nd last year

J.B. Holmes to beat Fred Couples -143 @ Unibet  LOST by 5
Already a winner this year, plus 7th in his last strokeplay event, came extremely close to beating Tiger in the WGC World Matchplay last time out and finished 8th last year; Couples can't compete with those credentials

No Round 2 plays

No Round 2 plays

Round 4 plays (1pt):

Troy Matteson to beat Rich Beem -120 @ Pinnacle  WON by 3
Beem has been in the top-15 with one round to play 15 times over the last 5 seasons and not once has he broken 70 in the final round. In fact, he has fallen down the leaderboard in 14 of those 15 occasions from an average position of 7.6 to 19.8. Worth opposing today

Frank Lickliter to beat Daniel Chopra -105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 8
At eight shots off the lead, these players could still challenge for a top-5 finish today. How have they fared in similar situations in the past? In the last 5 five seasons, Lickliter averages 70.1 and 13/27 rounds under 70; Chopra 71.8 and 9/43 rounds under 70

Jesper Parnevik to beat Tim Herron +100 @ Five Dimes  VOID (Parnevik and Herron dns)
These two players languish in 74th place and with the weather conditions expected to be fair today, it is all above incentives in this position and they differ in this situation. For example, Herron was 67th last week and shot 80 in the final round; the last three times Parnevik has been worse than 55th, he has shot 69-65-68