Stake 3pts Ames to beat Harrington +100 @ Boyle Sports Harrington has put in a few mixed performances lately, highly clearly by a significant deterioration in his putting. He has missed the cut in his only start here and you can't help but think that Harrington will be more interested in his build up to next weeks US Open than his finishing position this week. Last week brought another decent performance from Ames and his recent GIR stats are highly impressive. His previous form here is not that great but it has improved in recent starts and his last three finishes here were decent enough. His game should really be suited to this course and going into this event in such good form will help him to a good showing this week.
Stake 3pts Gay to beat Weekley +100 @ Paddy Power This presents a very good chance for Gay to follow up his sole tour victory in this years Mayakoba Classic. His recent form has been consistently good, as has his stats (accuracy in particular) and his previous form here shows some inconsistency but a number of strong finishes. Weekely has performed well this season but his form recently has deteriorated slightly and he missed the cut in last years event, his first start here since 2002. Weekley is a very capable player but Gay has to be taken at this price.
Stake 3pts Lowery to beat Glover +105 @ Five Dimes Not a matchup to get heavily involved in given Lowery's form this season of missing the cut in nearly 50% of his starts, but I think Glover is significantly overrated on most weeks and he has also missed the cut in almost 50% of his starts this season. Glover two previous starts here of mc-44 are seriously overshadowed by Lowery's form here of 12-3-17-12. Glover yet again looks over-rated this week and Lowery's vastly superior course form should be enough to justify this as a value bet at these odds.
Stake 4pts Toms to beat Perry -110 @ Sportingbet This looks a big price. I can't get too enthusiatic regarding Toms chances to win this week as he always finds a way to throw in at least one poor round. But he has great recent form and is especially consistent at the moment, albeit nowhere as good as Perry's sparkling form of this season. I would have this as a fair price if it were not for their vasty different course form. Perry missed a couple of cuts here in the late 90's, elected not to play the course the following five years and then returned to missin gthe cut yet again in 2005 and 2006. Hardly inspiring, especially when compared to Toms figures of 4-1-1-2-10-3. The final reason for me is this is going to be 47-year-old Perry's seventh consecutive appearance and there has to be some sort of fatigue creeping into his game, especially after last weeks deserved victory.
