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Tournament Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds:Matchups

 
 
Tour Championship
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Bets: 6     Wins: 4     Losses: 2     Profit/Loss = + 5.24 pts

Stake 4pts Singh to beat Mickelson -115 @ The Greek
Singh has been in fabulous form of late even if his putting is rather tempremental and he has a phenomenal record here of a top ten finishes from each of his previous seven starts here. He also has the advantage of not having played five rounds in three days at the Ryder Cup. Mickelson's recent form has been average, his performance at the Ryder Cup was mixed at best and although he is a previous winner here he has other less impressive finishes. Also there has to be a question mark regarding Mickelson's motivation at this late stage of the season. 
Singh beaten by Mickelson by 15

Stake 3pts Choi to beat Leonard +100 @ The Greek
Choi has been erratic for most of the season but his game, especially his iron play, has come together quite nicely of late. His previous form here is average but he did gain a top ten finish in 2002. Leonard has been in good form of late but being the emotional type that he is I can envisage him having some difficulties raising his game after last weeks Ryder Cup. His performance there was good but probably over estimated due to his partnering with Mahan. I have Choi at -110 at the very worst here.
Choi beat Leonard by 1 

Stake 3pts Immelman to beat Perry +112 @ Unibet
A very mixed season for Immelman but he did show signs of retruning to form last time out and he did finish fifth behind Scott here on his only previous start back in 2006. Perry has had a stellar season but with recent finishes of 66/w/48/mc/44 it shows that his season was completly geared towards qualifying for the Ryder Cup. There is every likelihood that he just wants the season to end and the odds here on Immelman are ridiculously large given that possibility.
Immelman beat Perry by 8

Further Plays

Stake 2.5pts Pettersson to beat Cink +115 @ Unibet
Pettersson has been in good form recently in complete contrast to Cink who has shown precious little in the second half of the season after a superbly consistent first half. Both have average course form but given the difference in recent form with Pettersson having won five out of seven h2h's in the second half of the season this is a big price. 
Pettersson beat Cink by 3

Stake 2.5pts Garcia to beat Kim +100 @ Coral
Stake 2.5pts Stricker to beat Mahan +108 @ Unibet
Two plays based on price. In recent play off events Garcia was -170 to beat Kim while Stricker was -125 to beat Mahan. Both Kim and Mahan were exceptional at the Ryder Cup surely one match play event is not enough to justify these changes in price. Garcia was a huge disapointment last week but he has always performed well after Ryder Cups and has been in great form of late. While Stricker has very good recent form, course form and can't really be blamed for his lack of points as he was paired with the misfiring Curtis twice last week.
Garcia beat Kim by 1
Stricker beaten by Mahan by 4