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Buy David Toms FP at 42 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U 30, Loss 6 Pts Toms has done absolutely nothing this year even although in recent weeks he has threatened to do so and has been priced accordingly (29-32 two weeks ago). His 08' record shows 12 strokeplay starts in which he has beaten today's quote on 5 occasions although only breaking inside the Top 20 once, at Wachovia. He was 6th here last year in his first visit since three starts pre 2000 which included a couple of cut misses. It isn't the greatest field, they never are after a major, but 42 is a touch low. R2 Sell Hunter Mahan over Brian Gay 18H MB at 6 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 22, Loss 4 Pts R1 scoring sees Mahan lead Gay by 5 so that has to be factored into whether the price in R2 is value. H2H scoring over 12 months sees Mahan lead 6-4 overall but there is a quirk in scoring in the two pre cut rounds that has to be accounted for. In R1 Mahan leads 7-3 but trails 3-7 in R2. In 16 starts this year Mahan has improved his R1 score on the Friday only 4 times even although he has only broken 70 twice in those 16 starts (72 and 74 in R2 on those occasions). 0-2 -10pts |