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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds:Spreads

 
 
U.S. Open
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R1:

Sell Retief Goosen over Scott Verplank 18H MB at 3 with
IG Sport for 0.25 Pts M/U -22, Profit 6.25 Pts
Last week seen Verplank finish in the Top 10 whilst Goosen was missing the cut and the price for this Thursday seems to reflect Goosen's US Open record rather than his record currently. Course form is debatable this week as conditions will be different to the Buick Invtl. in February that also uses the neighbouring North Course, so we have to reflect therefore on a players' ability to play US Open style courses and their current form only. Goosen, albeit a twice US Open winner has missed the cut in his last two starts whilst Verplank was 7th last year.

Sell Padraig Harrington over Davis Love III 18H MB at 7 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U -28, Profit 8.75 Pts
Sell Angel Cabrera over Davis Love III 18H MB at 2 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U -31, Profit 8.25 Pts
After stating that February course form is largely irrelevant for the purposes of this event it has to be noted that Love has three Top 4's in 7 Buick starts but on the more important factors, current form and US Open compatibility, Love comes in with current form the equal arguably of Harrington and better than Cabrera but US Open form much inferior. This has been built into the price though and a fair handicap start for Love in this scoring system would be 5 over Harrington and "choice" with Cabrera, given the defending Champion's recent form.

R2

Sell Boo Weekley over Shingo Katayama 18H MB at 8 with IG Sport for 0.25 Pts M/U 0, Profit 2 Pts
For really no other reason than the price is too big, this is worth a play at 8. Yesterday, Katayama was 4 back of Weekley but he, and other Japanese players who don't play regularly in Europe or the US bar majors, tend to get undervalued and this is the case here.


4-0-0 +25.25 Pts