Allenby has a terrible record round this course having missed two cuts, finished 75th, stayed away for 4 years then came back in '06 only to withdraw after R3. His current form is good, bar perhaps an 81 finish last week in Augusta, but the course form is so damning that he is worth opposing at 42. He has only missed the one cut this year, that being his first event in Hawaii, but 42 seems low in this company given his obvious dislike for the surroundings.

Sell Jeff Quinney over Mathew Goggin 18H MB at 0 with Sporting Index for 0.25 Pts M/U 13, Loss 3.25 Pts
H2H's show little difference in both player's results against each other, whether by round or over a full event. Course form though shows Goggin finish 29th last year, his first made cut in three whilst Quinney missed the cut in his only start last year. Long term scoring shows Goggin averaging half a stroke less than Quinney over 1 year and in current weeks has a similar difference. Another firm has Goggin the favourite and I am inclined to agree.

R2

Buy Davis Love FP at 26 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U 38, Profit 6 Pts

Great start to R1 by Love, but he is not the player he was who has won so many times here in the past. In 2008 his results have been poor with an average FP of 50 and only 4 rounds, including yesterday, under 70. He will have to show form that he hasn't up until now to stay in his current position.

1-2 -10.75 Pts