3-6; -6.42pts

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Jesper Parnevik to beat Vaughn Taylor +105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 2
Glen Day to beat Vaughn Taylor -105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 1
Not hard to oppose Taylor this week. In the three occasions that he has played in this event, he has withdrawn after the first round twice (outside the top-100 at the time on both occasions) and missed the cut on the other occasion. Parnevik was a top-20 finisher on his course debut last year and Day has finished in the top-20 in four of the last five years

Patrick Sheehan to beat Mark Calcavecchia -110 @ Five Dimes  WON by 1
Calc has finished a tournament ahead of Sheehan just once since March, so with the veteran making his course debut this week, that trend shouldn't be reversed at Annandale

John Senden to beat David Toms -110 @ Bet365  LOST by 6
Difficult to see Toms playing well this week. He has been suffering with degenerative discs in his back and without a top-10 finish in the last 15 months, he certainly his current 120th place in the Money List. Add to the equation the playing of the Ryder Cup at the same time and it should be hard for Toms, a member of the last three U.S. teams, to fully focus on this event as, as Fred Funk put it, "it's a little slap to your ego"

Round 3 plays (2pts):

Marc Turnesa to beat Paul Stankowski +120 @ The Greek  WON by 5
The Greek appear to be the only book making Stankowski the favourite in this match, so that itself is indicative of value in these odds. Turnesa has held the 36-hole lead in a PGA Tour event recently (St Jude Championship) and shot 70 in the 3rd round, so there is no reason to expect him to buckle under the pressure today. It should be a different matter with Stankowski who has started the weekend in the top-10 just once in any Tour event over the last 12 months; he shot 79 in the next round

Justin Bolli to beat Brad Elder -121 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 3
Again the generalised odds provide evidence of value: Bolli is widely -120 with ties lose. With Bolli ranked 5th in greens in regulation so far this week and Elder 76th, it should be Bolli who carries on with the low scoring over the weekend

Brian Gay to beat Eric Axley -125 @ Five Dimes  WON by 4
Another matchup involving two players playing very differently from tee-to-green: Gay ranks 6th in greens in regulation so far this week and Axley 57, however, unlike Elder, it means that his position on the leaderboard (50th) is warranted so I'll certainly back 2nd-placed Gay to continue his form for at least one more round

Round 4 plays (2pts):

Scott Sterling to beat Will Mackenzie-105 @ Five Dimes  LOST by 5
Marc Turnesa to beat Will Mackenzie +100 @ Unibet  LOST by 2
Opposing MacKenzie whose hot putter has turned around a very poor run of form this week: he ranks 2nd in putts per round and 3rd in putts per GIR, but only 48th in greens in regulation (hitting only 10 greens yesterday when starting from 2nd place). It seems unlikely that his putter will be able to save him as much in the final round when again starting from 2nd as past experience shows: when starting the final round in the top-10 in any Tour event, he has never finished the day closer to the leader than he began it