Click here to receive alerts when this page is updated
5-2; +2.85pts
Round 1 plays (1pt):
Todd Hamilton to beat Philip Schmitt -108 @ Five Dimes WON by 4 13 missed cuts from 14 Tour starts is enough reason to oppose Schmitt. He may be a local player, but he has missed the cut in three previous appearances in this event and even Hamilton should beat him
Lucas Glover to beat Chad Campbell -120 @ Bet365 WON by 1 Plenty of stats in Glover's favour: he has finished 3rd & 8th on this course, whereas Campbell is making his debut and, since the start of last season, Glover holds a 15-4-4 first round h2h lead over him
Kenny Perry to beat Chad Campbell -120 @ Carib WON by 4 Similar reasons here with Perry leading the head-to-head stats and, although he finished 66th on this course last year, he was struggling at the time - it was the only cut he made in a two-month period that included two withdrawals
Mark Calcavecchia to beat Mike Weir -110 @ Five Dimes TIED And here. Calc finished 5th last year, while Weir is another making his course debut. With the season-opening Mercedes-Benz Championship being the last time that Weir beat Calc in the first round, this match shouldn't be pick'em
Tim Clark to beat Zach Johnson -110 @ Five Dimes LOST by 1 Clark has been in the better form this year and is another with course form (21st in 2005) playing against an opponent without any. It is over six months since Johnson beat Clark in the first round and the streak should last another week
Round 2 plays (1pt):
Jason Gore to beat Dustin Johnson -118 @ Five Dimes WON by 4 Opposing Johnson who is very good at following good opening rounds with good 2nd rounds, but also at following bad opening rounds with bad ones. He has been outside the top-100 after 18 holes twice this year and shot 75-76 in the 2nd round
John Mallinger to beat Woody Austin -105 @ Carib LOST by 2 Apart from the fact that Mallinger ranks 23rd in 2nd round scoring average this year, over two shots better on average than Austin who ranks 112th, Austin's record when in this position is very poor. He is currently in 9th place - he has been within two places of this position on four occasions within the last year and has finished the 2nd round in 53rd, 34th, 25th and 25th place
Kenny Perry to beat Woody Austin +100 @ Pinnacle TIED Similar reasons for opposing Austin here. And in terms of their head-to-head record, Perry has dominated in every department except the final round this year: Austin has finished ahead of him at the end of the event just once in five events this year; just once in the first round this year; just once in the second round this year; and never in the third round this year
Round 3 play (1pt):
Peter Lonard to beat Briny Baird -110 @ WSEX [widely available] WON by 1 Opposing Baird in this final group matchup. The last time that he held the lead in a Tour event, he shot 78 in the 3rd round and fell to 43rd. Compare that to Lonard who averages 69.5 when 2nd after 36 holes across all Tour and on the PGA Tour alone, he has never fallen outside the top-5 after the 3rd round when starting it in 2nd place
