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Spread Picks - PGA Tour |
Tipster: Andy |
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Arnold Palmer Invitational |
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Sell Richard Sterne over James Nitties 18H R1 MB at 1 with www.extrabet.com for 0.5 Pts M/U -34, Profit 17.5 Pts US form is sparse for both of these players. Between them they have only played 14 events in the last 3 years and from those Sterne has played 6, missed 2 cuts and finished in the top 25 twice. Nitties, has played 8, missed 4 cuts and finished top 25 three times. Nitties' scoring record is nearly one stroke better than Sterne's and current form sees Sterne only playing two events since January, both the WGC events in which he lost in the 1st round in Matchplay and was close to last in the CA Championship two weeks ago in Miami. Nitties has two top 10s on this tour in the last 7 weeks and possibly should be favoured on this tour even if Sterne is probably the better player.
Please note IG Index are now under the one banner with their fixed odds firm, Extrabet. See link above.
Sell Charles Howell over Pat Perez 18H R1 MB at 1 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U -13, Profit 7 Pts H2H's sees Perez lead 11-6 in events although trailing in R1 matches. This was an issue we had last week but it worked out ok. Howell has had an 8th and 15th here mixed in with 6 really poor results whilst Perez has finished no worse than 44th in 6 starts which includes 2 Top 10's. With a win already this year Perez should be the favourite in this match-up.
Sell Ross Fisher over Harrison Frazar 18H R1 MB at 3 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U -28, Profit 15.5 Pts Fisher, bar his semi final place at the Matchplay, has done little on US soil. 3 missed cuts in PGA tour events and 34, 46, and 56th placings in no cut, limited field, WGC events means that he is possibly too high at 3 with Spreadex to beat Frazar. Frazar has three Top 20's in his last 5 starts and that is sufficient form to advise him as value in this match-up. He has two Top 20's on the course and has only failed to make the weekend in 2 of his 7 starts.
Sell Tiger Woods over Mark Wilson 18H R1 MB at 12 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U -13, Profit 12.5 Pts Wilson has made his last 3 cuts here, won in Mexico a few weeks ago and was 12th last week. The only downside is the fact he is paired with Woods and the circus that this entails but 12 just seems a bit high given Woods has yet to hit the levels that he was at prior to his lay off.
Sell Angel Cabrera over Tom Lehman 18H R1 MB at 4 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U -13, Profit 8.5 Pts Lehman done well for us last week. Therefore, it seems strange that he is priced at 4-7 against Cabrera tomorrow. H2H's sees a 3-3 tie but course form points to Lehman who has finished 5/8 the last two years and has made 10 consecutive cuts posting two other Top 10's in his career. Cabrera has made 4 from 4 cuts but has finished no better than 9th, which was on his first visit. 5-0-0 +61 Pts
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